Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 59.99%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Genoa had a probability of 17.99%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.66%) and 2-1 (9.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.46%), while for a Genoa win it was 0-1 (5.53%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood.
Result | ||
Fiorentina | Draw | Genoa |
59.99% | 22.01% | 17.99% |
Both teams to score 51.38% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.56% | 46.43% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.28% | 68.71% |
Fiorentina Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.94% | 15.06% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
56.43% | 43.57% |
Genoa Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
60.48% | 39.51% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
23.79% | 76.2% |
Score Analysis |
Fiorentina | Draw | Genoa |
1-0 @ 11.26% 2-0 @ 10.66% 2-1 @ 9.9% 3-0 @ 6.73% 3-1 @ 6.25% 4-0 @ 3.19% 4-1 @ 2.96% 3-2 @ 2.9% 4-2 @ 1.37% 5-0 @ 1.21% 5-1 @ 1.12% Other @ 2.44% Total : 59.98% | 1-1 @ 10.46% 0-0 @ 5.95% 2-2 @ 4.6% Other @ 1% Total : 22.01% | 0-1 @ 5.53% 1-2 @ 4.86% 0-2 @ 2.57% 1-3 @ 1.5% 2-3 @ 1.42% Other @ 2.12% Total : 17.99% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Inter Milan | 36 | 29 | 5 | 2 | 86 | 19 | 67 | 92 |
2 | AC Milan | 36 | 22 | 8 | 6 | 72 | 43 | 29 | 74 |
3 | Bologna | 36 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 51 | 27 | 24 | 67 |
4 | Juventus | 36 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 49 | 28 | 21 | 67 |
5 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 35 | 19 | 6 | 10 | 65 | 39 | 26 | 63 |
6 | Roma | 36 | 17 | 9 | 10 | 63 | 44 | 19 | 60 |
7 | Lazio | 36 | 18 | 5 | 13 | 47 | 37 | 10 | 59 |
8 | Fiorentina | 35 | 15 | 8 | 12 | 53 | 40 | 13 | 53 |
9 | Napoli | 36 | 13 | 12 | 11 | 53 | 46 | 7 | 51 |
10 | Torino | 36 | 12 | 14 | 10 | 33 | 32 | 1 | 50 |
11 | Genoa | 36 | 11 | 13 | 12 | 43 | 44 | -1 | 46 |
12 | Monza | 36 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 39 | 48 | -9 | 45 |
13 | Lecce | 36 | 8 | 13 | 15 | 32 | 52 | -20 | 37 |
14 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 36 | 8 | 10 | 18 | 34 | 48 | -14 | 34 |
15 | Udinese | 36 | 5 | 18 | 13 | 35 | 52 | -17 | 33 |
16 | CagliariCagliari | 36 | 7 | 12 | 17 | 38 | 65 | -27 | 33 |
17 | FrosinoneFrosinone | 36 | 7 | 11 | 18 | 43 | 68 | -25 | 32 |
18 | Empoli | 36 | 8 | 8 | 20 | 26 | 52 | -26 | 32 |
19 | SassuoloSassuolo | 36 | 7 | 8 | 21 | 42 | 72 | -30 | 29 |
R | Salernitana | 36 | 2 | 10 | 24 | 28 | 76 | -48 | 16 |
> Serie A Full Table |