Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cagliari win with a probability of 44.71%. A win for Spezia had a probability of 30.2% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cagliari win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.16%) and 2-0 (7.49%). The likeliest Spezia win was 0-1 (7.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.87%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.
Result | ||
Cagliari | Draw | Spezia |
44.71% | 25.1% | 30.2% |
Both teams to score 55.47% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.22% | 47.79% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.03% | 69.97% |
Cagliari Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.61% | 21.39% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.62% | 54.38% |
Spezia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.56% | 29.44% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.56% | 65.44% |
Score Analysis |
Cagliari | Draw | Spezia |
1-0 @ 9.71% 2-1 @ 9.16% 2-0 @ 7.49% 3-1 @ 4.71% 3-0 @ 3.85% 3-2 @ 2.88% 4-1 @ 1.82% 4-0 @ 1.49% 4-2 @ 1.11% Other @ 2.5% Total : 44.71% | 1-1 @ 11.87% 0-0 @ 6.3% 2-2 @ 5.6% 3-3 @ 1.17% Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.09% | 0-1 @ 7.7% 1-2 @ 7.26% 0-2 @ 4.71% 1-3 @ 2.96% 2-3 @ 2.28% 0-3 @ 1.92% 1-4 @ 0.91% Other @ 2.46% Total : 30.2% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Inter Milan | 36 | 29 | 5 | 2 | 86 | 19 | 67 | 92 |
2 | AC Milan | 36 | 22 | 8 | 6 | 72 | 43 | 29 | 74 |
3 | Bologna | 36 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 51 | 27 | 24 | 67 |
4 | Juventus | 36 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 49 | 28 | 21 | 67 |
5 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 35 | 19 | 6 | 10 | 65 | 39 | 26 | 63 |
6 | Roma | 36 | 17 | 9 | 10 | 63 | 44 | 19 | 60 |
7 | Lazio | 36 | 18 | 5 | 13 | 47 | 37 | 10 | 59 |
8 | Napoli | 36 | 13 | 12 | 11 | 53 | 46 | 7 | 51 |
9 | Fiorentina | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 51 | 39 | 12 | 50 |
10 | Torino | 36 | 12 | 14 | 10 | 33 | 32 | 1 | 50 |
11 | Genoa | 36 | 11 | 13 | 12 | 43 | 44 | -1 | 46 |
12 | Monza | 35 | 11 | 12 | 12 | 38 | 46 | -8 | 45 |
13 | Lecce | 35 | 8 | 13 | 14 | 32 | 50 | -18 | 37 |
14 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 36 | 8 | 10 | 18 | 34 | 48 | -14 | 34 |
15 | CagliariCagliari | 36 | 7 | 12 | 17 | 38 | 65 | -27 | 33 |
16 | FrosinoneFrosinone | 36 | 7 | 11 | 18 | 43 | 68 | -25 | 32 |
17 | Empoli | 36 | 8 | 8 | 20 | 26 | 52 | -26 | 32 |
18 | Udinese | 35 | 4 | 18 | 13 | 33 | 52 | -19 | 30 |
19 | SassuoloSassuolo | 36 | 7 | 8 | 21 | 42 | 72 | -30 | 29 |
R | Salernitana | 36 | 2 | 10 | 24 | 28 | 76 | -48 | 16 |
> Serie A Full Table |