Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 63.39%. A draw had a probability of 20.1% and a win for Cagliari had a probability of 16.47%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.93%) and 1-0 (9.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.45%), while for a Cagliari win it was 1-2 (4.58%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atalanta BC would win this match.
Result | ||
Atalanta BC | Draw | Cagliari |
63.39% | 20.14% | 16.47% |
Both teams to score 54.49% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
59.26% | 40.74% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
36.87% | 63.12% |
Atalanta BC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.77% | 12.23% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
62.08% | 37.92% |
Cagliari Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.08% | 37.91% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.31% | 74.69% |
Score Analysis |
Atalanta BC | Draw | Cagliari |
2-0 @ 10.23% 2-1 @ 9.93% 1-0 @ 9.74% 3-0 @ 7.17% 3-1 @ 6.96% 4-0 @ 3.77% 4-1 @ 3.66% 3-2 @ 3.37% 4-2 @ 1.77% 5-0 @ 1.58% 5-1 @ 1.54% Other @ 3.66% Total : 63.38% | 1-1 @ 9.45% 2-2 @ 4.82% 0-0 @ 4.64% 3-3 @ 1.09% Other @ 0.15% Total : 20.14% | 1-2 @ 4.58% 0-1 @ 4.5% 0-2 @ 2.18% 2-3 @ 1.56% 1-3 @ 1.48% Other @ 2.18% Total : 16.47% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Inter Milan | 37 | 29 | 6 | 2 | 87 | 20 | 67 | 93 |
2 | AC Milan | 37 | 22 | 8 | 7 | 73 | 46 | 27 | 74 |
3 | Bologna | 38 | 18 | 14 | 6 | 54 | 32 | 22 | 68 |
4 | Juventus | 37 | 18 | 14 | 5 | 52 | 31 | 21 | 68 |
5 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 36 | 20 | 6 | 10 | 67 | 39 | 28 | 66 |
6 | Roma | 37 | 18 | 9 | 10 | 64 | 44 | 20 | 63 |
7 | Lazio | 37 | 18 | 6 | 13 | 48 | 38 | 10 | 60 |
8 | Fiorentina | 37 | 16 | 9 | 12 | 58 | 44 | 14 | 57 |
9 | Torino | 37 | 13 | 14 | 10 | 36 | 33 | 3 | 53 |
10 | Napoli | 37 | 13 | 13 | 11 | 55 | 48 | 7 | 52 |
11 | Genoa | 38 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 45 | 45 | 0 | 49 |
12 | Monza | 37 | 11 | 12 | 14 | 39 | 49 | -10 | 45 |
13 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 37 | 9 | 10 | 18 | 36 | 49 | -13 | 37 |
14 | Lecce | 37 | 8 | 13 | 16 | 32 | 54 | -22 | 37 |
15 | CagliariCagliari | 38 | 8 | 12 | 18 | 42 | 68 | -26 | 36 |
16 | FrosinoneFrosinone | 37 | 8 | 11 | 18 | 44 | 68 | -24 | 35 |
17 | Udinese | 37 | 5 | 19 | 13 | 36 | 53 | -17 | 34 |
18 | Empoli | 37 | 8 | 9 | 20 | 27 | 53 | -26 | 33 |
R | SassuoloSassuolo | 37 | 7 | 8 | 22 | 42 | 74 | -32 | 29 |
R | Salernitana | 37 | 2 | 10 | 25 | 29 | 78 | -49 | 16 |
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