Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 56.49%. A win for Sassuolo had a probability of 22.42% and a draw had a probability of 21.1%.
The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.86%) and 1-0 (7.61%). The likeliest Sassuolo win was 1-2 (5.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.4%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.
Result | ||
AC Milan | Draw | Sassuolo |
56.49% | 21.09% | 22.42% |
Both teams to score 61.95% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
64.08% | 35.92% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
41.99% | 58.01% |
AC Milan Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.32% | 12.68% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
61.14% | 38.86% |
Sassuolo Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.95% | 29.05% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.03% | 64.97% |
Score Analysis |
AC Milan | Draw | Sassuolo |
2-1 @ 9.71% 2-0 @ 7.86% 1-0 @ 7.61% 3-1 @ 6.69% 3-0 @ 5.41% 3-2 @ 4.13% 4-1 @ 3.45% 4-0 @ 2.79% 4-2 @ 2.13% 5-1 @ 1.43% 5-0 @ 1.15% Other @ 4.13% Total : 56.49% | 1-1 @ 9.4% 2-2 @ 6% 0-0 @ 3.68% 3-3 @ 1.7% Other @ 0.3% Total : 21.09% | 1-2 @ 5.81% 0-1 @ 4.55% 0-2 @ 2.81% 2-3 @ 2.47% 1-3 @ 2.39% 0-3 @ 1.16% Other @ 3.22% Total : 22.42% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Inter Milan | 36 | 29 | 5 | 2 | 86 | 19 | 67 | 92 |
2 | AC Milan | 36 | 22 | 8 | 6 | 72 | 43 | 29 | 74 |
3 | Bologna | 36 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 51 | 27 | 24 | 67 |
4 | Juventus | 36 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 49 | 28 | 21 | 67 |
5 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 35 | 19 | 6 | 10 | 65 | 39 | 26 | 63 |
6 | Roma | 36 | 17 | 9 | 10 | 63 | 44 | 19 | 60 |
7 | Lazio | 36 | 18 | 5 | 13 | 47 | 37 | 10 | 59 |
8 | Fiorentina | 35 | 15 | 8 | 12 | 53 | 40 | 13 | 53 |
9 | Napoli | 36 | 13 | 12 | 11 | 53 | 46 | 7 | 51 |
10 | Torino | 36 | 12 | 14 | 10 | 33 | 32 | 1 | 50 |
11 | Genoa | 36 | 11 | 13 | 12 | 43 | 44 | -1 | 46 |
12 | Monza | 36 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 39 | 48 | -9 | 45 |
13 | Lecce | 36 | 8 | 13 | 15 | 32 | 52 | -20 | 37 |
14 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 36 | 8 | 10 | 18 | 34 | 48 | -14 | 34 |
15 | Udinese | 36 | 5 | 18 | 13 | 35 | 52 | -17 | 33 |
16 | CagliariCagliari | 36 | 7 | 12 | 17 | 38 | 65 | -27 | 33 |
17 | FrosinoneFrosinone | 36 | 7 | 11 | 18 | 43 | 68 | -25 | 32 |
18 | Empoli | 36 | 8 | 8 | 20 | 26 | 52 | -26 | 32 |
19 | SassuoloSassuolo | 36 | 7 | 8 | 21 | 42 | 72 | -30 | 29 |
R | Salernitana | 36 | 2 | 10 | 24 | 28 | 76 | -48 | 16 |
> Serie A Full Table |