Deportivo

2 - 1

Ponferradina

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Deportivo La Coruna win with a probability of 42.58%. A win for Ponferradina had a probability of 28.73% and a draw had a probability of 28.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Deportivo La Coruna win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.48%) and 2-1 (8.2%). The likeliest Ponferradina win was 0-1 (10.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.18%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Deportivo La Coruna would win this match.