Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burgos win with a probability of 35.8%. A win for Mirandes had a probability of 32.34% and a draw had a probability of 31.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Burgos win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.22%) and 2-1 (6.6%). The likeliest Mirandes win was 0-1 (13.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 0-0 (15.04%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Burgos in this match.
