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Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 38
May 28, 2023 at 3pm UK
Fir Park
Dundee United

Motherwell
3 - 2
Dundee Utd

van Veen (5'), Spittal (69'), Johnston (82')
Miller (52'), Blaney (56')
FT(HT: 1-1)
McGrath (31' pen.), Fletcher (49')

The Match

Match Report

Dundee United are relegated from the Scottish Premiership courtesy of a 3-2 defeat to Motherwell, failing to overturn an unlikely route to safety.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Scottish Premiership clash between Motherwell and Dundee United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Livingston 1-1 Motherwell
Wednesday, May 24 at 7.45pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Dundee Utd 0-3 Kilmarnock
Wednesday, May 24 at 7.45pm in Scottish Premiership

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Motherwell win with a probability of 50.92%. A draw had a probability of 24.6% and a win for Dundee United had a probability of 24.51%.

The most likely scoreline for a Motherwell win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.58%) and 2-0 (9.04%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.67%), while for a Dundee United win it was 0-1 (7.12%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Motherwell would win this match.

Result
MotherwellDrawDundee United
50.92% (-0.821 -0.82) 24.57% (0.216 0.22) 24.51% (0.606 0.61)
Both teams to score 52.68% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.65% (-0.341 -0.34)49.34% (0.34200000000001 0.34)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.6% (-0.308 -0.31)71.39% (0.309 0.31)
Motherwell Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.62% (-0.45699999999999 -0.46)19.38% (0.458 0.46)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.82% (-0.756 -0.76)51.18% (0.757 0.76)
Dundee United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.35% (0.34700000000001 0.35)34.65% (-0.345 -0.34)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.62% (0.366 0.37)71.37% (-0.364 -0.36)
Score Analysis
    Motherwell 50.91%
    Dundee United 24.51%
    Draw 24.56%
MotherwellDrawDundee United
1-0 @ 11.01% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.58% (-0.052999999999999 -0.05)
2-0 @ 9.04% (-0.136 -0.14)
3-1 @ 5.24% (-0.106 -0.11)
3-0 @ 4.95% (-0.147 -0.15)
3-2 @ 2.78% (-0.03 -0.03)
4-1 @ 2.15% (-0.075 -0.08)
4-0 @ 2.03% (-0.091 -0.09)
4-2 @ 1.14% (-0.029 -0.03)
Other @ 2.99%
Total : 50.91%
1-1 @ 11.67% (0.1 0.1)
0-0 @ 6.72% (0.093 0.09)
2-2 @ 5.08% (0.02 0.02)
3-3 @ 0.98% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 24.56%
0-1 @ 7.12% (0.164 0.16)
1-2 @ 6.19% (0.112 0.11)
0-2 @ 3.77% (0.122 0.12)
1-3 @ 2.19% (0.06 0.06)
2-3 @ 1.79% (0.024 0.02)
0-3 @ 1.33% (0.055 0.05)
Other @ 2.12%
Total : 24.51%

How you voted: Motherwell vs Dundee Utd

Motherwell
71.4%
Draw
0.0%
Dundee United
28.6%
7
Head to Head
Apr 15, 2023 3pm
gameweek 32
Motherwell
1-2
Dundee Utd
Van Veen (22')
Butcher (45+1'), Kelly (69'), Casey (84')
Niskanen (63'), McGrath (71' pen.)
Niskanen (28'), Ayina (88'), Birighitti (90+8'), Fletcher (90+7')
Oct 29, 2022 3pm
gameweek 13
Dundee Utd
0-1
Motherwell

Watt (40')
Johansen (22')
Sep 3, 2022 3pm
gameweek 6
Motherwell
0-0
Dundee Utd

Slattery (55'), McGinn (69')

McGrath (2')
Apr 30, 2022 3pm
gameweek 2
Dundee Utd
1-0
Motherwell
Levitt (37')
Mulgrew (56'), Smith (88'), Sporle (90')

Goss (55'), Mugabi (76'), Slattery (87')
Feb 9, 2022 7.45pm
gameweek 26
Dundee Utd
2-0
Motherwell
Levitt (29'), Watt (59')

Slattery (26'), van Veen (88')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
Championship Group
1Celtic330087285987
2RangersRangers320179275281
3Hearts311149371266
4Kilmarnock31114538755
5St Mirren31024247-546
6Dundee30034662-1641
Relegation Group
1Aberdeen33004149-844
2Motherwell32015554143
3Hibernian31024858-1042
4Ross County31023564-2933
5St Johnstone30032652-2631
RLivingston32012764-3724
 
First Phase
1Celtic33246380265478
2RangersRangers33243672234975
3Hearts33195946341262
4Kilmarnock33131284334951
5St Mirren33127143843-543
6Dundee331011124454-1041
7Hibernian33912124451-739
8Motherwell33813124651-537
9Aberdeen33811143549-1435
10St Johnstone33710162446-2231
11Ross County3379173256-2430
RLivingston3339212259-3718


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