Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hamilton Academical win with a probability of 64.94%. A draw had a probability of 19.5% and a win for Montrose had a probability of 15.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hamilton Academical win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.88%) and 1-0 (9.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.09%), while for a Montrose win it was 1-2 (4.38%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood.
Result | ||
Hamilton Academical | Draw | Montrose |
64.94% ( 0.09) | 19.46% ( -0.04) | 15.6% ( -0.05) |
Both teams to score 54.85% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
60.72% ( 0.06) | 39.28% ( -0.06) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
38.39% ( 0.06) | 61.61% ( -0.07) |
Hamilton Academical Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
88.63% ( 0.04) | 11.37% ( -0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
63.91% ( 0.09) | 36.09% ( -0.09) |
Montrose Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61.89% ( -0.03) | 38.11% ( 0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.13% ( -0.03) | 74.87% ( 0.02) |
Score Analysis |
Hamilton Academical | Draw | Montrose |
2-0 @ 10.24% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.88% ( -0) 1-0 @ 9.42% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 7.42% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 7.16% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 4.03% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 3.89% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 3.45% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.88% ( 0) 5-0 @ 1.75% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 1.69% ( 0.01) Other @ 4.11% Total : 64.94% | 1-1 @ 9.09% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 4.77% ( -0) 0-0 @ 4.33% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.11% Other @ 0.16% Total : 19.46% | 1-2 @ 4.38% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 4.18% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 2.02% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.53% ( -0) 1-3 @ 1.41% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.08% Total : 15.6% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | FalkirkFalkirk | 36 | 27 | 9 | 0 | 96 | 28 | 68 | 90 |
2 | Hamilton AcademicalHamilton | 36 | 22 | 8 | 6 | 73 | 28 | 45 | 74 |
3 | Alloa AthleticAlloa | 36 | 16 | 8 | 12 | 60 | 55 | 5 | 56 |
4 | Montrose | 36 | 15 | 8 | 13 | 58 | 57 | 1 | 53 |
5 | Cove Rangers | 36 | 14 | 7 | 15 | 58 | 63 | -5 | 49 |
6 | Kelty Hearts | 36 | 12 | 8 | 16 | 48 | 63 | -15 | 44 |
7 | Queen of the SouthQotS | 36 | 11 | 8 | 17 | 46 | 53 | -7 | 41 |
8 | Annan AthleticAnnan | 36 | 9 | 12 | 15 | 55 | 68 | -13 | 39 |
9 | Stirling AlbionStirling | 36 | 10 | 9 | 17 | 39 | 58 | -19 | 39 |
10 | Edinburgh CityEdinburgh | 36 | 3 | 5 | 28 | 38 | 98 | -60 | 8 |
> Scottish League One Full Table |