Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Falkirk win with a probability of 82.91%. A draw had a probability of 11.5% and a win for Peterhead had a probability of 5.62%.
The most likely scoreline for a Falkirk win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.69%) and 4-0 (8.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.43%), while for a Peterhead win it was 0-1 (1.88%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Falkirk would win this match.
Result | ||
Falkirk | Draw | Peterhead |
82.91% ( 0.57) | 11.47% ( -0.3) | 5.62% ( -0.26) |
Both teams to score 45.08% ( -0.5) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
68.69% ( 0.31) | 31.31% ( -0.31) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
47.25% ( 0.37) | 52.75% ( -0.37) |
Falkirk Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
94.46% ( 0.16) | 5.54% ( -0.16) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
78.44% ( 0.47) | 21.56% ( -0.47) |
Peterhead Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
47.72% ( -0.62) | 52.28% ( 0.62) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
13.81% ( -0.4) | 86.18% ( 0.4) |
Score Analysis |
Falkirk | Draw | Peterhead |
2-0 @ 12.11% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 11.69% ( 0.16) 4-0 @ 8.46% ( 0.19) 1-0 @ 8.38% ( -0.06) 2-1 @ 7.86% ( -0.12) 3-1 @ 7.58% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 5.49% ( 0.03) 5-0 @ 4.9% ( 0.16) 5-1 @ 3.18% ( 0.05) 3-2 @ 2.46% ( -0.06) 6-0 @ 2.36% ( 0.1) 4-2 @ 1.78% ( -0.02) 6-1 @ 1.53% ( 0.04) 5-2 @ 1.03% ( -0) 7-0 @ 0.98% ( 0.05) Other @ 3.13% Total : 82.9% | 1-1 @ 5.43% ( -0.14) 0-0 @ 2.89% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 2.55% ( -0.09) Other @ 0.6% Total : 11.47% | 0-1 @ 1.88% ( -0.07) 1-2 @ 1.76% ( -0.08) Other @ 1.98% Total : 5.62% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | FalkirkFalkirk | 36 | 27 | 9 | 0 | 96 | 28 | 68 | 90 |
2 | Hamilton AcademicalHamilton | 36 | 22 | 8 | 6 | 73 | 28 | 45 | 74 |
3 | Alloa AthleticAlloa | 36 | 16 | 8 | 12 | 60 | 55 | 5 | 56 |
4 | Montrose | 36 | 15 | 8 | 13 | 58 | 57 | 1 | 53 |
5 | Cove Rangers | 36 | 14 | 7 | 15 | 58 | 63 | -5 | 49 |
6 | Kelty Hearts | 36 | 12 | 8 | 16 | 48 | 63 | -15 | 44 |
7 | Queen of the SouthQotS | 36 | 11 | 8 | 17 | 46 | 53 | -7 | 41 |
8 | Annan AthleticAnnan | 36 | 9 | 12 | 15 | 55 | 68 | -13 | 39 |
9 | Stirling AlbionStirling | 36 | 10 | 9 | 17 | 39 | 58 | -19 | 39 |
10 | Edinburgh CityEdinburgh | 36 | 3 | 5 | 28 | 38 | 98 | -60 | 8 |
> Scottish League One Full Table |