Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Greenock Morton win with a probability of 59.37%. A draw had a probability of 21.3% and a win for Queen's Park had a probability of 19.34%.
The most likely scoreline for a Greenock Morton win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.46%) and 1-0 (9.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.94%), while for a Queen's Park win it was 1-2 (5.23%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Greenock Morton would win this match.
Result | ||
Greenock Morton | Draw | Queen's Park |
59.37% ( 0.26) | 21.29% ( -0.08) | 19.34% ( -0.18) |
Both teams to score 56.26% ( -0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.85% ( 0.12) | 41.15% ( -0.12) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
36.45% ( 0.12) | 63.54% ( -0.12) |
Greenock Morton Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.48% ( 0.12) | 13.52% ( -0.12) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
59.43% ( 0.24) | 40.57% ( -0.23) |
Queen's Park Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.06% ( -0.11) | 34.94% ( 0.11) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.32% ( -0.12) | 71.68% ( 0.12) |
Score Analysis |
Greenock Morton | Draw | Queen's Park |
2-1 @ 9.95% ( 0) 2-0 @ 9.46% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 9.45% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 6.63% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 6.31% ( 0.05) 3-2 @ 3.49% ( 0) 4-1 @ 3.32% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 3.16% ( 0.04) 4-2 @ 1.75% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 1.33% ( 0.02) 5-0 @ 1.26% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.28% Total : 59.37% | 1-1 @ 9.94% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 5.23% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 4.72% ( -0.03) 3-3 @ 1.22% ( -0) Other @ 0.18% Total : 21.29% | 1-2 @ 5.23% ( -0.04) 0-1 @ 4.97% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 2.61% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 1.83% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 1.83% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 0.92% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.96% Total : 19.34% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Dundee UnitedDundee Utd | 36 | 22 | 9 | 5 | 73 | 23 | 50 | 75 |
2 | Raith Rovers | 36 | 20 | 9 | 7 | 58 | 42 | 16 | 69 |
3 | Partick ThistlePartick | 36 | 14 | 13 | 9 | 63 | 54 | 9 | 55 |
4 | AirdrieoniansAirdrieonians | 36 | 15 | 7 | 14 | 44 | 44 | 0 | 52 |
5 | Greenock MortonMorton | 36 | 12 | 9 | 15 | 43 | 46 | -3 | 45 |
6 | Dunfermline AthleticDunfermline | 36 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 43 | 48 | -5 | 45 |
7 | Ayr UnitedAyr | 36 | 12 | 8 | 16 | 53 | 61 | -8 | 44 |
8 | Queen's ParkQueen's Park | 36 | 11 | 10 | 15 | 50 | 56 | -6 | 43 |
9 | Inverness Caledonian ThistleInverness | 36 | 10 | 12 | 14 | 41 | 40 | 1 | 42 |
10 | Arbroath | 36 | 6 | 5 | 25 | 35 | 89 | -54 | 23 |
> Scottish Championship Full Table |