MX23RW : Tuesday, May 21 02:32:13| >> :300:86500:86500:
Al-Nassr
Saudi Pro League | Gameweek 4
Aug 29, 2023 at 7pm UK
Mrsool Park

Al-Nassr
4 - 0
Al Shabab

Ronaldo (13' pen., 38' pen.), Mane (41'), Al-Ghanam (80')
Mane (43'), Boushal (89')
FT(HT: 3-0)

Alsebyani (29'), Al-Sharari (33'), Cuellar (37'), Santos (43'), Babhir (77')
Banega (78')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Saudi Pro League clash between Al-Nassr and Al Shabab, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Al Fateh 0-5 Al-Nassr
Friday, August 25 at 7pm in Saudi Pro League
Last Game: Al Shabab 1-1 Damac
Friday, August 25 at 7pm in Saudi Pro League

We said: Al-Nassr 3-1 Al Shabab

While the last few encounters between these sides have been fairly close, the hosts seem to have found their stride in the last couple of weeks while the visitors are still staggering out the blocks. We expect Al-Nassr to secure a comfortable win in this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Nassr win with a probability of 47.72%. A win for Al Shabab had a probability of 28.47% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for an Al-Nassr win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.75%) and 2-0 (7.46%). The likeliest Al Shabab win was 1-2 (7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.07%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Al-Nassr would win this match.

Result
Al-NassrDrawAl Shabab
47.72% (0.39599999999999 0.4) 23.81% (-0.089000000000002 -0.09) 28.47% (-0.3 -0.3)
Both teams to score 58.72% (0.101 0.1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.99% (0.229 0.23)43.02% (-0.223 -0.22)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.59% (0.226 0.23)65.42% (-0.218 -0.22)
Al-Nassr Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.81% (0.249 0.25)18.2% (-0.242 -0.24)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.8% (0.418 0.42)49.2% (-0.41099999999999 -0.41)
Al Shabab Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.78% (-0.088999999999999 -0.09)28.22% (0.097999999999999 0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.08% (-0.117 -0.12)63.93% (0.123 0.12)
Score Analysis
    Al-Nassr 47.72%
    Al Shabab 28.47%
    Draw 23.81%
Al-NassrDrawAl Shabab
2-1 @ 9.43% (0.029 0.03)
1-0 @ 8.75% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
2-0 @ 7.46% (0.043 0.04)
3-1 @ 5.36% (0.058 0.06)
3-0 @ 4.24% (0.058000000000001 0.06)
3-2 @ 3.39% (0.028 0.03)
4-1 @ 2.28% (0.042 0.04)
4-0 @ 1.8% (0.038 0.04)
4-2 @ 1.44% (0.023 0.02)
Other @ 3.57%
Total : 47.72%
1-1 @ 11.07% (-0.049999999999999 -0.05)
2-2 @ 5.97% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-0 @ 5.14% (-0.051 -0.05)
3-3 @ 1.43% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 23.81%
1-2 @ 7% (-0.052 -0.05)
0-1 @ 6.5% (-0.082 -0.08)
0-2 @ 4.11% (-0.063 -0.06)
1-3 @ 2.95% (-0.03 -0.03)
2-3 @ 2.52% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.73% (-0.031 -0.03)
1-4 @ 0.93% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 2.73%
Total : 28.47%

How you voted: Al-Nassr vs Al Shabab

Al-Nassr
95.5%
Draw
0.0%
Al Shabab
4.5%
44
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Al-HilalAl-Hilal32293096217590
2Al-Nassr32253494385678
3Al-AhliAl-Ahli32187766353161
4Al-TaawounAl-Taawoun321510749341555
5Al Ittihad32156115749851
6Al Ettifaq32111294233945
7Al Fayha321110114350-743
8Al Fateh32119125351242
9Al ShababAl Shabab32118134239341
10Damac321010124240240
11Al Khaleej32910133443-937
12Al RaedAl Raed3298154048-835
13Al WahdaAl Wahda32105174357-1435
14Al Riyadh32710152954-2531
15Al Tai3287173359-2631
16Al Okhdood3285193051-2129
17Abha3285193584-4929
18Al Hazem32312173173-4221


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!