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Saudi Pro League | Gameweek 15
Nov 30, 2023 at 6pm UK
King Abdullah Sports City

Al Ittihad
4 - 2
Al Khaleej

Coronado (9'), Benzema (29' pen.), Hamdallah (65' pen.), Al Hawsawi (74')
Hawsawi (52'), Al-Ghamdi (61')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Narey (45' pen.), Altryes (90')
Al Hamsal (68')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Saudi Pro League clash between Al Ittihad and Al Khaleej, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: AGMK 1-2 Al Ittihad
Monday, November 27 at 4pm in AFC Champions League
Last Game: Al Wahda 3-1 Al Khaleej
Saturday, November 25 at 6pm in Saudi Pro League

We said: Al Ittihad 2-0 Al Khaleej

While Al Ittihad have not been at their best of late, they have beaten bottom-half teams with relative ease this season. The visitors have never beaten this opponent in the top flight, and we feel they will suffer another defeat in this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al Ittihad win with a probability of 72.73%. A draw had a probability of 16.9% and a win for Al Khaleej had a probability of 10.4%.

The most likely scoreline for an Al Ittihad win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.54%) and 3-0 (9.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.02%), while for an Al Khaleej win it was 0-1 (3.43%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Al Ittihad would win this match.

Result
Al IttihadDrawAl Khaleej
72.73% (0.0060000000000002 0.01) 16.87% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01) 10.4% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
Both teams to score 48.11% (0.010999999999996 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.87% (0.018000000000001 0.02)40.13% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.5% (0.016999999999996 0.02)62.5% (-0.020000000000003 -0.02)
Al Ittihad Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.36% (0.0050000000000097 0.01)9.64% (-0.0059999999999985 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
67.81% (0.013000000000005 0.01)32.19% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Al Khaleej Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
53.24% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)46.76% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.7% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)82.3% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Al Ittihad 72.72%
    Al Khaleej 10.4%
    Draw 16.87%
Al IttihadDrawAl Khaleej
2-0 @ 12.33%
1-0 @ 10.54% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
3-0 @ 9.62% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
2-1 @ 9.38%
3-1 @ 7.31% (0.00099999999999945 0)
4-0 @ 5.62% (0.00099999999999945 0)
4-1 @ 4.28% (0.0020000000000007 0)
3-2 @ 2.78% (0.0019999999999998 0)
5-0 @ 2.63% (0.00099999999999989 0)
5-1 @ 2% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-2 @ 1.63% (0.00099999999999989 0)
6-0 @ 1.03% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 3.59%
Total : 72.72%
1-1 @ 8.02% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-0 @ 4.51% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
2-2 @ 3.56%
Other @ 0.79%
Total : 16.87%
0-1 @ 3.43% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-2 @ 3.05%
0-2 @ 1.3% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-3 @ 0.9% (0.001 0)
Other @ 1.72%
Total : 10.4%

How you voted: Al Ittihad vs Al Khaleej

Al Ittihad
78.6%
Draw
7.1%
Al Khaleej
14.3%
14
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Al-HilalAl-Hilal31292095207589
2Al-Nassr31252493375677
3Al-AhliAl-Ahli31177761342758
4Al-TaawounAl-Taawoun311410748341452
5Al Ittihad31155115648850
6Al Ettifaq31111194132944
7Al Fateh31119115248442
8Al Fayha31119114249-742
9Al ShababAl Shabab31118124238441
10Damac31109124139239
11Al Khaleej3199133342-936
12Al WahdaAl Wahda31105164356-1335
13Al RaedAl Raed3188153948-932
14Al Riyadh3179152853-2530
15Abha3185183479-4529
16Al Okhdood3184192950-2128
17Al Tai3177173058-2828
18Al Hazem31311173072-4220


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