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Russian Premier League | Gameweek 20
Mar 18, 2023 at 9am UK
Stadion Gazovik

Orenburg
2 - 0
Spartak Moscow

Kavalyow (17'), Vorobyev (23')
Vorobyev (4'), Sivakov (39'), Sysuev (90+5')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Zinkovskiy (37'), Sobolev (45+5'), Litvinov (55')
Coverage of the Russian Premier League clash between Orenburg and Spartak Moscow.

Form, Standings, Stats

Orenburg

All competitions
Last Game: Sochi 0-4 Orenburg
Friday, March 10 at 4pm in Russian Premier League

Spartak Moscow

All competitions
Last Game: Spartak Moscow 3-2 Fakel
Saturday, March 11 at 1.30pm in Russian Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spartak Moscow win with a probability of 51.93%. A win for Orenburg had a probability of 24.81% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Spartak Moscow win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.35%) and 0-2 (8.35%). The likeliest Orenburg win was 2-1 (6.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.88%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood.

Result
OrenburgDrawSpartak Moscow
24.81% (-1.569 -1.57) 23.27% (-0.098000000000003 -0.1) 51.93% (1.671 1.67)
Both teams to score 57.24% (-1.245 -1.25)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.53% (-0.928 -0.93)43.47% (0.931 0.93)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.14% (-0.919 -0.92)65.86% (0.922 0.92)
Orenburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.78% (-1.724 -1.72)31.22% (1.726 1.73)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.43% (-2.055 -2.06)67.57% (2.057 2.06)
Spartak Moscow Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.22% (0.268 0.27)16.78% (-0.267 -0.27)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.28% (0.476 0.48)46.73% (-0.474 -0.47)
Score Analysis
    Orenburg 24.81%
    Spartak Moscow 51.93%
    Draw 23.26%
OrenburgDrawSpartak Moscow
2-1 @ 6.34% (-0.294 -0.29)
1-0 @ 6.1% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
2-0 @ 3.55% (-0.198 -0.2)
3-1 @ 2.46% (-0.24 -0.24)
3-2 @ 2.19% (-0.193 -0.19)
3-0 @ 1.38% (-0.148 -0.15)
Other @ 2.8%
Total : 24.81%
1-1 @ 10.88% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
2-2 @ 5.66% (-0.21 -0.21)
0-0 @ 5.24% (0.211 0.21)
3-3 @ 1.31% (-0.102 -0.1)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 23.26%
1-2 @ 9.72% (0.108 0.11)
0-1 @ 9.35% (0.456 0.46)
0-2 @ 8.35% (0.477 0.48)
1-3 @ 5.78% (0.114 0.11)
0-3 @ 4.97% (0.325 0.32)
2-3 @ 3.37% (-0.094 -0.09)
1-4 @ 2.58% (0.073 0.07)
0-4 @ 2.22% (0.164 0.16)
2-4 @ 1.5% (-0.028 -0.03)
1-5 @ 0.92% (0.034 0.03)
Other @ 3.18%
Total : 51.93%

Head to Head
Jul 31, 2022 3.30pm
Spartak Moscow
4-1
Orenburg
Martins Pereira (2'), Sobolev (12'), Promes (38', 90+4')
Khlusevich (80')
Basic (55')
Sivakov (21'), Oganesyan (61'), Ektov (87'), Khotulev (90+4')
Mar 14, 2020 11am
Orenburg
1-3
Spartak Moscow
Fameyeh (17')
Terekhov (45'), Miskic (56')
Ponce (44'), Larsson (71'), Mirzov (90')
Maslov (29'), Markitesov (45'), Lucas (90')
Sep 29, 2019 2.30pm
Spartak Moscow
1-2
Orenburg
Melgarejo (65')
Kutepov (6'), Bakaev (93')
Malykh (45'), Despotovic (63')
Terekhov (21'), Miskic (33')
Miskic (71')
May 26, 2019 12pm
Orenburg
2-0
Spartak Moscow
Alves (8'), Kulishev (94')
Popovic (11'), Despotovic (12'), Malykh (78'), Dovbnya (90'), Kulishev (95')

Guliev (27'), Melgarejo (78')
May 25, 2019
1am
Orenburg  
vs.
  Spartak Moscow
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Dynamo Moscow29168553381556
2Zenit St PetersburgZenit29166750262454
3FC KrasnodarKrasnodar29158644291553
4Lokomotiv MoscowLokomotiv291311549371250
5Spartak Moscow2914784132949
6CSKA MoscowCSKA291112654401445
7RostovRostov29127104244-243
8Rubin Kazan29118103037-741
9Krylia SovetovKrylia Sovetov29117114543240
10Akhmat GroznyAkhmat Grozny29105143343-1035
11OrenburgOrenburg2979133441-730
12Ural YekaterinburgUral2979133044-1430
13Fakel29611122031-1129
14Nizhny Novgorod2985162850-2229
15Baltika2975173239-726
16Sochi2958163647-1123
> Russian Premier League Full Table


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