Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 80.88%. A draw had a probability of 12.5% and a win for Vizela had a probability of 6.61%.
The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (11.1%) and 0-1 (8.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.9%), while for a Vizela win it was 1-0 (2.11%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-2 win for Benfica in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Benfica.
Result | ||
Vizela | Draw | Benfica |
6.61% ( 0.05) | 12.51% ( 0.06) | 80.88% ( -0.1) |
Both teams to score 47.06% ( 0.04) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
67.84% ( -0.09) | 32.16% ( 0.1) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
46.25% ( -0.11) | 53.75% ( 0.11) |
Vizela Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
50.11% ( 0.06) | 49.89% ( -0.06) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
15.41% ( 0.04) | 84.58% ( -0.04) |
Benfica Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
93.92% ( -0.04) | 6.08% ( 0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
76.91% ( -0.11) | 23.09% ( 0.11) |
Score Analysis |
Vizela | Draw | Benfica |
1-0 @ 2.11% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 2.05% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.45% Total : 6.61% | 1-1 @ 5.9% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 3.03% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 2.87% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.7% Total : 12.51% | 0-2 @ 11.89% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 11.1% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 8.49% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 8.27% ( 0.02) 0-4 @ 7.77% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 7.72% 1-4 @ 5.41% ( -0.01) 0-5 @ 4.36% ( -0.03) 1-5 @ 3.03% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.68% ( 0) 0-6 @ 2.03% ( -0.02) 2-4 @ 1.88% ( -0) 1-6 @ 1.41% ( -0.01) 2-5 @ 1.05% ( -0) Other @ 3.79% Total : 80.88% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Sporting Lisbon | 33 | 28 | 3 | 2 | 93 | 29 | 64 | 87 |
2 | Benfica | 33 | 25 | 4 | 4 | 76 | 27 | 49 | 79 |
3 | Porto | 33 | 21 | 6 | 6 | 62 | 27 | 35 | 69 |
4 | Braga | 33 | 21 | 5 | 7 | 71 | 49 | 22 | 68 |
5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 33 | 18 | 6 | 9 | 49 | 37 | 12 | 60 |
6 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 33 | 15 | 7 | 11 | 34 | 34 | 0 | 52 |
7 | AroucaArouca | 33 | 13 | 7 | 13 | 53 | 47 | 6 | 46 |
8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 33 | 10 | 12 | 11 | 36 | 39 | -3 | 42 |
9 | SC FarenseFarense | 33 | 10 | 7 | 16 | 45 | 48 | -3 | 37 |
10 | Rio AveRio Ave | 33 | 6 | 18 | 9 | 37 | 42 | -5 | 36 |
11 | Gil Vicente | 33 | 9 | 9 | 15 | 42 | 51 | -9 | 36 |
12 | Casa Pia | 33 | 9 | 8 | 16 | 36 | 49 | -13 | 35 |
13 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 33 | 9 | 6 | 18 | 48 | 56 | -8 | 33 |
14 | BoavistaBoavista | 33 | 7 | 10 | 16 | 37 | 60 | -23 | 31 |
15 | Estrela Amadora | 33 | 6 | 12 | 15 | 32 | 53 | -21 | 30 |
16 | PortimonensePortimonense | 33 | 7 | 8 | 18 | 36 | 71 | -35 | 29 |
R | Vizela | 33 | 5 | 10 | 18 | 34 | 64 | -30 | 25 |
R | ChavesChaves | 33 | 5 | 8 | 20 | 31 | 69 | -38 | 23 |
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