Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SC Farense win with a probability of 36.83%. A win for Casa Pia had a probability of 34.94% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a SC Farense win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.79%) and 2-0 (6.83%). The likeliest Casa Pia win was 0-1 (11.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.22%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood.
Result | ||
SC Farense | Draw | Casa Pia |
36.83% ( 2.41) | 28.23% ( -0.14) | 34.94% ( -2.27) |
Both teams to score 47.09% ( 0.45) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
40.89% ( 0.53) | 59.11% ( -0.53) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
20.45% ( 0.41) | 79.55% ( -0.41) |
SC Farense Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.23% ( 1.82) | 30.77% ( -1.82) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.96% ( 2.09) | 67.04% ( -2.09) |
Casa Pia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.02% ( -1.17) | 31.98% ( 1.17) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.56% ( -1.36) | 68.43% ( 1.36) |
Score Analysis |
SC Farense | Draw | Casa Pia |
1-0 @ 11.59% ( 0.34) 2-1 @ 7.79% ( 0.36) 2-0 @ 6.83% ( 0.52) 3-1 @ 3.06% ( 0.29) 3-0 @ 2.69% ( 0.33) 3-2 @ 1.75% ( 0.11) 4-1 @ 0.9% ( 0.12) Other @ 2.22% Total : 36.83% | 1-1 @ 13.22% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 9.84% ( -0.19) 2-2 @ 4.44% ( 0.07) Other @ 0.72% Total : 28.22% | 0-1 @ 11.21% ( -0.61) 1-2 @ 7.54% ( -0.27) 0-2 @ 6.4% ( -0.57) 1-3 @ 2.87% ( -0.2) 0-3 @ 2.43% ( -0.3) 2-3 @ 1.69% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.8% Total : 34.93% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 31 | 26 | 3 | 2 | 89 | 29 | 60 | 81 |
2 | Benfica | 31 | 24 | 4 | 3 | 71 | 25 | 46 | 76 |
3 | Porto | 31 | 19 | 6 | 6 | 57 | 26 | 31 | 63 |
4 | Braga | 31 | 19 | 5 | 7 | 64 | 44 | 20 | 62 |
5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 31 | 18 | 6 | 7 | 46 | 32 | 14 | 60 |
6 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 31 | 13 | 7 | 11 | 32 | 34 | -2 | 46 |
7 | AroucaArouca | 31 | 13 | 6 | 12 | 53 | 42 | 11 | 45 |
8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 31 | 8 | 12 | 11 | 33 | 39 | -6 | 36 |
9 | Casa Pia | 31 | 9 | 8 | 14 | 33 | 44 | -11 | 35 |
10 | SC FarenseFarense | 31 | 9 | 7 | 15 | 42 | 44 | -2 | 34 |
11 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 31 | 9 | 6 | 16 | 46 | 52 | -6 | 33 |
12 | Rio AveRio Ave | 31 | 5 | 17 | 9 | 33 | 39 | -6 | 32 |
13 | Gil Vicente | 31 | 8 | 8 | 15 | 39 | 50 | -11 | 32 |
14 | BoavistaBoavista | 31 | 7 | 9 | 15 | 35 | 57 | -22 | 30 |
15 | Estrela Amadora | 31 | 6 | 11 | 14 | 32 | 49 | -17 | 29 |
16 | PortimonensePortimonense | 31 | 7 | 7 | 17 | 34 | 66 | -32 | 28 |
17 | ChavesChaves | 31 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 31 | 65 | -34 | 23 |
18 | Vizela | 31 | 4 | 10 | 17 | 30 | 63 | -33 | 22 |
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