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Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
Braga
Casa Pia
Chaves
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Portimonense
Porto
Rio Ave
Farense logo
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Vizela
Porto
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 14
Dec 28, 2022 at 9.15pm UK
Estádio Do Dragão
Arouca

Porto
5 - 1
Arouca

Otavio (1'), Taremi (18', 34', 50'), Opoku (70' og.)
Marcano (59')
FT(HT: 3-0)
Bruninho (75')
Ruiz (36'), Sylla (48'), Basso (85')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Primeira Liga clash between Porto and Arouca, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Porto

All competitions
Primeira Liga
Last Game: Porto 2-0 Gil Vicente
Wednesday, December 21 at 8.15pm in Taca da Liga

Arouca

All competitions
Primeira Liga
Last Game: Moreirense 1-2 Arouca
Thursday, December 22 at 8.15pm in Taca da Liga

We said: Porto 3-1 Arouca

 Off the back of a fine cup run to the semi-finals, Porto and Arouca will head into Wednesday looking to keep the juggernaut rolling and the momentum high. While the visitors have put together a fine run of form in recent weeks, they are in for a tough 90 minutes against a significantly superior and more experienced Porto side. With that said, we are backing Conceicao's side to extend their dominance in this fixture by claiming another victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 76.6%. A draw had a probability of 15.8% and a win for Arouca had a probability of 7.62%.

The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.64%) and 3-0 (11.41%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.4%), while for an Arouca win it was 0-1 (3.18%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Porto would win this match.

Result
PortoDrawArouca
76.6% (-0.016000000000005 -0.02) 15.77% (0.004999999999999 0) 7.62% (0.0131 0.01)
Both teams to score 39.98% (0.031999999999996 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.68% (0.016000000000005 0.02)44.32% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.31% (0.016000000000005 0.02)66.69% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Porto Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.24% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)9.76% (0.0020000000000007 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
67.53% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)32.47% (0.0019999999999953 0)
Arouca Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
44.3% (0.035999999999994 0.04)55.7% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
11.71% (0.025 0.03)88.29% (-0.022999999999996 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Porto 76.58%
    Arouca 7.62%
    Draw 15.77%
PortoDrawArouca
2-0 @ 14.71% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-0 @ 12.64% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-0 @ 11.41% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 8.61% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-1 @ 6.68% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-0 @ 6.64% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
4-1 @ 3.89% (0.0020000000000002 0)
5-0 @ 3.09% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
3-2 @ 1.96% (0.0030000000000001 0)
5-1 @ 1.81% (0.00099999999999989 0)
6-0 @ 1.2% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
4-2 @ 1.14% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.81%
Total : 76.58%
1-1 @ 7.4% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-0 @ 5.44% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-2 @ 2.52% (0.004 0)
Other @ 0.42%
Total : 15.77%
0-1 @ 3.18% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-2 @ 2.17% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-2 @ 0.93% (0.002 0)
Other @ 1.35%
Total : 7.62%

How you voted: Porto vs Arouca

Porto
100%
Draw
0.0%
Arouca
0.0%
36
Head to Head
Feb 6, 2022 6pm
Arouca
0-2
Porto

Kouassi (1'), Basso (45+3'), Moreira (61'), Silva (68'), Antony (90+10')
Vitinha (54'), Mbemba (57')
Conceicao (45+6'), Pepe (53'), Sanusi (75'), Marchesin (90+3'), Eustaquio (90+7')
Aug 28, 2021 6pm
Porto
3-0
Arouca
Uribe (24'), Taremi (34'), Marcano (63')
Mario (45+2'), Costa (51'), Diaz (59'), Uribe (67')

Miguel Pereira Da Silva (25'), Quaresma Correia (83'), Dabbagh (88')
Mar 10, 2017 8.30pm
Arouca
0-4
Porto

Valente (84'), Jubal (89')
Pereira (15'), Soares (25', 87'), Jota (72')
Pereira (83'), Andre (83')
Oct 22, 2016 8.30pm
Porto
3-0
Arouca
Silva (43', 78'), Brahimi (91')

Coelho (31')
Feb 7, 2016 7.15pm
Porto
1-2
Arouca
Aboubakar (14')
Maicon (65')
Gonzalez (1', 66')
Adilson (45'), Lima (59'), Gonzalez (66'), Bracali (76')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CSporting Lisbon32273292296384
2Benfica32244471274476
3Porto32206660263466
4Braga32205768472165
5Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes32186847341360
6MoreirenseMoreirense32147113334-149
7AroucaArouca321371253421146
8FamalicaoFamalicao32912113539-439
9SC FarenseFarense32107154546-137
10Rio AveRio Ave3261793540-535
11Casa Pia3298153648-1235
12Gil Vicente3289154051-1133
13Estoril PraiaEstoril3296174855-733
14BoavistaBoavista32710153658-2231
15Estrela Amadora32612143249-1730
16PortimonensePortimonense3277183469-3528
17ChavesChaves3258193168-3723
RVizela32410183064-3422
> Primeira Liga Full Table


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