Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
4 | Braga | 32 | 20 | 62 |
5 | Gil Vicente | 33 | 10 | 51 |
6 | Vitoria de Guimaraes | 33 | 4 | 45 |
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
16 | Moreirense | 33 | -17 | 29 |
17 | Tondela | 34 | -26 | 28 |
18 | Belenenses | 34 | -32 | 26 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gil Vicente win with a probability of 61.78%. A draw had a probability of 21.4% and a win for Tondela had a probability of 16.82%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gil Vicente win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.95%) and 2-1 (9.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.16%), while for a Tondela win it was 0-1 (5.22%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Gil Vicente would win this match.
Result | ||
Gil Vicente | Draw | Tondela |
61.78% ( 0.02) | 21.4% ( -0.01) | 16.82% ( -0.01) |
Both teams to score 51% ( 0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.26% ( 0.02) | 45.74% ( -0.02) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.94% ( 0.02) | 68.06% ( -0.02) |
Gil Vicente Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.74% ( 0.01) | 14.27% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
57.96% ( 0.02) | 42.05% ( -0.02) |
Tondela Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
59.49% ( 0) | 40.51% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
22.88% ( -0) | 77.12% ( 0) |
Score Analysis |
Gil Vicente | Draw | Tondela |
1-0 @ 11.25% 2-0 @ 10.95% 2-1 @ 9.9% 3-0 @ 7.11% ( 0) 3-1 @ 6.43% ( 0) 4-0 @ 3.46% ( 0) 4-1 @ 3.13% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.9% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.41% ( 0) 5-0 @ 1.35% ( 0) 5-1 @ 1.22% ( 0) Other @ 2.65% Total : 61.77% | 1-1 @ 10.16% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 5.78% ( -0) 2-2 @ 4.47% Other @ 0.98% Total : 21.39% | 0-1 @ 5.22% ( -0) 1-2 @ 4.59% ( -0) 0-2 @ 2.36% ( -0) 1-3 @ 1.38% 2-3 @ 1.35% Other @ 1.91% Total : 16.82% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Sporting Lisbon | 34 | 29 | 3 | 2 | 96 | 29 | 67 | 90 |
2 | Benfica | 34 | 25 | 5 | 4 | 77 | 28 | 49 | 80 |
3 | Porto | 34 | 22 | 6 | 6 | 63 | 27 | 36 | 72 |
4 | Braga | 34 | 21 | 5 | 8 | 71 | 50 | 21 | 68 |
5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 34 | 19 | 6 | 9 | 52 | 38 | 14 | 63 |
6 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 34 | 16 | 7 | 11 | 36 | 35 | 1 | 55 |
7 | AroucaArouca | 34 | 13 | 7 | 14 | 54 | 50 | 4 | 46 |
8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 37 | 41 | -4 | 42 |
9 | Casa Pia | 34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 38 | 50 | -12 | 38 |
10 | SC FarenseFarense | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 46 | 51 | -5 | 37 |
11 | Rio AveRio Ave | 34 | 6 | 19 | 9 | 38 | 43 | -5 | 37 |
12 | Gil Vicente | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 42 | 52 | -10 | 36 |
13 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 34 | 9 | 6 | 19 | 49 | 58 | -9 | 33 |
14 | Estrela Amadora | 34 | 7 | 12 | 15 | 33 | 53 | -20 | 33 |
15 | BoavistaBoavista | 34 | 7 | 11 | 16 | 39 | 62 | -23 | 32 |
16 | PortimonensePortimonense | 34 | 8 | 8 | 18 | 39 | 72 | -33 | 32 |
R | Vizela | 34 | 5 | 11 | 18 | 36 | 66 | -30 | 26 |
R | ChavesChaves | 34 | 5 | 8 | 21 | 31 | 72 | -41 | 23 |
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