Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Famalicao win with a probability of 38.99%. A win for Chaves had a probability of 32.09% and a draw had a probability of 28.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Famalicao win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.84%) and 0-2 (7.55%). The likeliest Chaves win was 1-0 (11.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.33%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Famalicao would win this match.
Result | ||
Chaves | Draw | Famalicao |
32.09% ( 0.45) | 28.92% ( 0.14) | 38.99% ( -0.59) |
Both teams to score 44.69% ( -0.26) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
38.14% ( -0.38) | 61.87% ( 0.38) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
18.36% ( -0.28) | 81.64% ( 0.28) |
Chaves Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.61% ( 0.13) | 35.39% ( -0.13) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.85% ( 0.13) | 72.15% ( -0.13) |
Famalicao Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.16% ( -0.54) | 30.84% ( 0.54) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.88% ( -0.64) | 67.12% ( 0.64) |
Score Analysis |
Chaves | Draw | Famalicao |
1-0 @ 11.33% ( 0.2) 2-1 @ 6.93% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 5.89% ( 0.12) 3-1 @ 2.4% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 2.04% ( 0.05) 3-2 @ 1.41% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.09% Total : 32.08% | 1-1 @ 13.33% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 10.91% ( 0.16) 2-2 @ 4.07% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.6% Total : 28.91% | 0-1 @ 12.83% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 7.84% ( -0.1) 0-2 @ 7.55% ( -0.12) 1-3 @ 3.08% ( -0.09) 0-3 @ 2.96% ( -0.09) 2-3 @ 1.6% ( -0.04) 1-4 @ 0.91% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.22% Total : 38.98% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Sporting Lisbon | 34 | 29 | 3 | 2 | 96 | 29 | 67 | 90 |
2 | Benfica | 34 | 25 | 5 | 4 | 77 | 28 | 49 | 80 |
3 | Porto | 34 | 22 | 6 | 6 | 63 | 27 | 36 | 72 |
4 | Braga | 34 | 21 | 5 | 8 | 71 | 50 | 21 | 68 |
5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 34 | 19 | 6 | 9 | 52 | 38 | 14 | 63 |
6 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 34 | 16 | 7 | 11 | 36 | 35 | 1 | 55 |
7 | AroucaArouca | 34 | 13 | 7 | 14 | 54 | 50 | 4 | 46 |
8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 37 | 41 | -4 | 42 |
9 | Casa Pia | 34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 38 | 50 | -12 | 38 |
10 | SC FarenseFarense | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 46 | 51 | -5 | 37 |
11 | Rio AveRio Ave | 34 | 6 | 19 | 9 | 38 | 43 | -5 | 37 |
12 | Gil Vicente | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 42 | 52 | -10 | 36 |
13 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 34 | 9 | 6 | 19 | 49 | 58 | -9 | 33 |
14 | Estrela Amadora | 34 | 7 | 12 | 15 | 33 | 53 | -20 | 33 |
15 | BoavistaBoavista | 34 | 7 | 11 | 16 | 39 | 62 | -23 | 32 |
16 | PortimonensePortimonense | 34 | 8 | 8 | 18 | 39 | 72 | -33 | 32 |
R | Vizela | 34 | 5 | 11 | 18 | 36 | 66 | -30 | 26 |
R | ChavesChaves | 34 | 5 | 8 | 21 | 31 | 72 | -41 | 23 |
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