Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
6 | Estoril Praia | 7 | 3 | 11 |
7 | Casa Pia | 6 | 3 | 11 |
8 | Sporting Lisbon | 7 | 3 | 10 |
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
15 | Santa Clara | 7 | -3 | 5 |
16 | Famalicao | 6 | -6 | 4 |
17 | Pacos de Ferreira | 7 | -10 | 1 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Casa Pia win with a probability of 35.6%. A win for Famalicao had a probability of 34.73% and a draw had a probability of 29.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Casa Pia win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.25%) and 2-0 (6.85%). The likeliest Famalicao win was 0-1 (12.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.47%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Casa Pia in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Casa Pia.
Result | ||
Casa Pia | Draw | Famalicao |
35.6% ( 2.15) | 29.67% ( 1.02) | 34.73% ( -3.16) |
Both teams to score 43.03% ( -2.67) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
35.95% ( -3.29) | 64.05% ( 3.3) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
16.78% ( -2.41) | 83.22% ( 2.41) |
Casa Pia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.89% ( -0.28) | 34.11% ( 0.28) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.2% ( -0.3) | 70.8% ( 0.3) |
Famalicao Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.3% ( -3.75) | 34.7% ( 3.76) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.57% ( -4.19) | 71.43% ( 4.19) |
Score Analysis |
Casa Pia | Draw | Famalicao |
1-0 @ 12.73% ( 1.39) 2-1 @ 7.25% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 6.85% ( 0.7) 3-1 @ 2.6% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 2.46% ( 0.23) 3-2 @ 1.38% ( -0.15) Other @ 2.35% Total : 35.6% | 1-1 @ 13.47% ( 0.17) 0-0 @ 11.83% ( 1.37) 2-2 @ 3.84% ( -0.4) Other @ 0.52% Total : 29.66% | 0-1 @ 12.52% ( 0.25) 1-2 @ 7.13% ( -0.67) 0-2 @ 6.63% ( -0.57) 1-3 @ 2.52% ( -0.54) 0-3 @ 2.34% ( -0.48) 2-3 @ 1.35% ( -0.3) Other @ 2.23% Total : 34.72% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Sporting Lisbon | 33 | 28 | 3 | 2 | 93 | 29 | 64 | 87 |
2 | Benfica | 33 | 25 | 4 | 4 | 76 | 27 | 49 | 79 |
3 | Porto | 33 | 21 | 6 | 6 | 62 | 27 | 35 | 69 |
4 | Braga | 33 | 21 | 5 | 7 | 71 | 49 | 22 | 68 |
5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 33 | 18 | 6 | 9 | 49 | 37 | 12 | 60 |
6 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 33 | 15 | 7 | 11 | 34 | 34 | 0 | 52 |
7 | AroucaArouca | 33 | 13 | 7 | 13 | 53 | 47 | 6 | 46 |
8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 33 | 10 | 12 | 11 | 36 | 39 | -3 | 42 |
9 | SC FarenseFarense | 33 | 10 | 7 | 16 | 45 | 48 | -3 | 37 |
10 | Rio AveRio Ave | 33 | 6 | 18 | 9 | 37 | 42 | -5 | 36 |
11 | Gil Vicente | 33 | 9 | 9 | 15 | 42 | 51 | -9 | 36 |
12 | Casa Pia | 33 | 9 | 8 | 16 | 36 | 49 | -13 | 35 |
13 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 33 | 9 | 6 | 18 | 48 | 56 | -8 | 33 |
14 | BoavistaBoavista | 33 | 7 | 10 | 16 | 37 | 60 | -23 | 31 |
15 | Estrela Amadora | 33 | 6 | 12 | 15 | 32 | 53 | -21 | 30 |
16 | PortimonensePortimonense | 33 | 7 | 8 | 18 | 36 | 71 | -35 | 29 |
R | Vizela | 33 | 5 | 10 | 18 | 34 | 64 | -30 | 25 |
R | ChavesChaves | 33 | 5 | 8 | 20 | 31 | 69 | -38 | 23 |
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