Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 65.19%. A draw had a probability of 19.6% and a win for Pacos de Ferreira had a probability of 15.19%.
The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10%) and 2-1 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.25%), while for a Pacos de Ferreira win it was 0-1 (4.32%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Benfica would win this match.
Result | ||
Benfica | Draw | Pacos de Ferreira |
65.19% | 19.63% | 15.19% |
Both teams to score 53.21% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
59.07% | 40.94% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
36.67% | 63.33% |
Benfica Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
88.21% | 11.79% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
63.01% | 37% |
Pacos de Ferreira Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
60.32% | 39.68% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
23.65% | 76.36% |
Score Analysis |
Benfica | Draw | Pacos de Ferreira |
2-0 @ 10.69% 1-0 @ 10% 2-1 @ 9.88% 3-0 @ 7.62% 3-1 @ 7.04% 4-0 @ 4.07% 4-1 @ 3.77% 3-2 @ 3.26% 5-0 @ 1.74% 4-2 @ 1.74% 5-1 @ 1.61% Other @ 3.76% Total : 65.19% | 1-1 @ 9.25% 0-0 @ 4.68% 2-2 @ 4.57% 3-3 @ 1% Other @ 0.14% Total : 19.63% | 0-1 @ 4.32% 1-2 @ 4.27% 0-2 @ 2% 2-3 @ 1.41% 1-3 @ 1.32% Other @ 1.87% Total : 15.19% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Sporting Lisbon | 33 | 28 | 3 | 2 | 93 | 29 | 64 | 87 |
2 | Benfica | 33 | 25 | 4 | 4 | 76 | 27 | 49 | 79 |
3 | Porto | 33 | 21 | 6 | 6 | 62 | 27 | 35 | 69 |
4 | Braga | 33 | 21 | 5 | 7 | 71 | 49 | 22 | 68 |
5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 33 | 18 | 6 | 9 | 49 | 37 | 12 | 60 |
6 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 33 | 15 | 7 | 11 | 34 | 34 | 0 | 52 |
7 | AroucaArouca | 33 | 13 | 7 | 13 | 53 | 47 | 6 | 46 |
8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 33 | 10 | 12 | 11 | 36 | 39 | -3 | 42 |
9 | SC FarenseFarense | 33 | 10 | 7 | 16 | 45 | 48 | -3 | 37 |
10 | Rio AveRio Ave | 33 | 6 | 18 | 9 | 37 | 42 | -5 | 36 |
11 | Gil Vicente | 33 | 9 | 9 | 15 | 42 | 51 | -9 | 36 |
12 | Casa Pia | 33 | 9 | 8 | 16 | 36 | 49 | -13 | 35 |
13 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 33 | 9 | 6 | 18 | 48 | 56 | -8 | 33 |
14 | BoavistaBoavista | 33 | 7 | 10 | 16 | 37 | 60 | -23 | 31 |
15 | Estrela Amadora | 33 | 6 | 12 | 15 | 32 | 53 | -21 | 30 |
16 | PortimonensePortimonense | 33 | 7 | 8 | 18 | 36 | 71 | -35 | 29 |
R | Vizela | 33 | 5 | 10 | 18 | 34 | 64 | -30 | 25 |
R | ChavesChaves | 33 | 5 | 8 | 20 | 31 | 69 | -38 | 23 |
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