Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
16 | Moreirense | 33 | -17 | 29 |
17 | Tondela | 34 | -26 | 28 |
18 | Belenenses | 34 | -32 | 26 |
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
11 | Pacos de Ferreira | 34 | -15 | 38 |
12 | Famalicao | 33 | -7 | 36 |
13 | Estoril Praia | 33 | -9 | 36 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Famalicao win with a probability of 44.54%. A win for Belenenses had a probability of 29.22% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Famalicao win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.98%) and 0-2 (8.06%). The likeliest Belenenses win was 1-0 (8.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.47%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Famalicao would win this match.
Result | ||
Belenenses | Draw | Famalicao |
29.22% ( 2.46) | 26.24% ( 0.19) | 44.54% ( -2.65) |
Both teams to score 51.27% ( 1.08) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.01% ( 0.6) | 52.98% ( -0.6) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.42% ( 0.51) | 74.58% ( -0.51) |
Belenenses Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.18% ( 2.24) | 32.81% ( -2.24) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.62% ( 2.42) | 69.38% ( -2.42) |
Famalicao Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.31% ( -0.98) | 23.68% ( 0.98) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.2% ( -1.44) | 57.8% ( 1.44) |
Score Analysis |
Belenenses | Draw | Famalicao |
1-0 @ 8.66% ( 0.32) 2-1 @ 6.95% ( 0.47) 2-0 @ 4.83% ( 0.45) 3-1 @ 2.58% ( 0.32) 3-2 @ 1.86% ( 0.18) 3-0 @ 1.79% ( 0.26) Other @ 2.55% Total : 29.22% | 1-1 @ 12.47% ( 0.11) 0-0 @ 7.77% ( -0.19) 2-2 @ 5.01% ( 0.2) Other @ 0.99% Total : 26.24% | 0-1 @ 11.19% ( -0.61) 1-2 @ 8.98% ( -0.19) 0-2 @ 8.06% ( -0.69) 1-3 @ 4.31% ( -0.22) 0-3 @ 3.87% ( -0.45) 2-3 @ 2.4% ( 0.03) 1-4 @ 1.55% ( -0.13) 0-4 @ 1.39% ( -0.21) Other @ 2.77% Total : 44.54% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Sporting Lisbon | 33 | 28 | 3 | 2 | 93 | 29 | 64 | 87 |
2 | Benfica | 33 | 25 | 4 | 4 | 76 | 27 | 49 | 79 |
3 | Porto | 33 | 21 | 6 | 6 | 62 | 27 | 35 | 69 |
4 | Braga | 33 | 21 | 5 | 7 | 71 | 49 | 22 | 68 |
5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 33 | 18 | 6 | 9 | 49 | 37 | 12 | 60 |
6 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 33 | 15 | 7 | 11 | 34 | 34 | 0 | 52 |
7 | AroucaArouca | 33 | 13 | 7 | 13 | 53 | 47 | 6 | 46 |
8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 33 | 10 | 12 | 11 | 36 | 39 | -3 | 42 |
9 | SC FarenseFarense | 33 | 10 | 7 | 16 | 45 | 48 | -3 | 37 |
10 | Rio AveRio Ave | 33 | 6 | 18 | 9 | 37 | 42 | -5 | 36 |
11 | Gil Vicente | 33 | 9 | 9 | 15 | 42 | 51 | -9 | 36 |
12 | Casa Pia | 33 | 9 | 8 | 16 | 36 | 49 | -13 | 35 |
13 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 33 | 9 | 6 | 18 | 48 | 56 | -8 | 33 |
14 | BoavistaBoavista | 33 | 7 | 10 | 16 | 37 | 60 | -23 | 31 |
15 | Estrela Amadora | 33 | 6 | 12 | 15 | 32 | 53 | -21 | 30 |
16 | PortimonensePortimonense | 33 | 7 | 8 | 18 | 36 | 71 | -35 | 29 |
R | Vizela | 33 | 5 | 10 | 18 | 34 | 64 | -30 | 25 |
R | ChavesChaves | 33 | 5 | 8 | 20 | 31 | 69 | -38 | 23 |
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