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Premier League
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Premier League | Gameweek 5
Aug 31, 2022 at 8pm UK
Anfield
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Liverpool
2 - 1
Newcastle

Firmino (61'), Carvalho (90+8')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Isak (38')
Lascelles (87'), Trippier (90')

The Match

Match Report

Liverpool's Fabio Carvalho scores a 98th-minute winner to earn his side a 2-1 victory over previously-unbeaten Newcastle United at Anfield.

Team News

Sports Mole rounds up all of the latest injury and suspension news ahead of Wednesday's Premier League clash between Liverpool and Newcastle United.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Premier League clash between Liverpool and Newcastle United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole looks at how Liverpool could line up in Wednesday's Premier League clash with Newcastle United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Liverpool

Last Six:
Last Game: Liverpool 9-0 Bournemouth
Saturday, August 27 at 3pm in Premier League

Newcastle United

Last Six:
Last Game: Wolves 1-1 Newcastle
Sunday, August 28 at 2pm in Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liverpool win with a probability of 77.1%. A draw had a probability of 13.9% and a win for Newcastle United had a probability of 9.03%.

The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.32%) and 2-1 (8.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.29%), while for a Newcastle United win it was 1-2 (2.73%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Liverpool in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Liverpool.

Result
LiverpoolDrawNewcastle United
77.1% (-0.52200000000001 -0.52) 13.88% (0.315 0.32) 9.03% (0.211 0.21)
Both teams to score 54.46% (-0.431 -0.43)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
70.57% (-0.93300000000001 -0.93)29.44% (0.938 0.94)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
49.49% (-1.143 -1.14)50.51% (1.148 1.15)
Liverpool Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
93.79% (-0.288 -0.29)6.21% (0.292 0.29)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
76.53% (-0.813 -0.81)23.47% (0.817 0.82)
Newcastle United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.06% (-0.278 -0.28)41.94% (0.282 0.28)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.62% (-0.244 -0.24)78.38% (0.248 0.25)
Score Analysis
    Liverpool 77.09%
    Newcastle United 9.03%
    Draw 13.88%
LiverpoolDrawNewcastle United
2-0 @ 10.05% (0.197 0.2)
3-0 @ 9.32% (0.031000000000001 0.03)
2-1 @ 8.74% (0.111 0.11)
3-1 @ 8.1% (-0.035 -0.04)
1-0 @ 7.24% (0.267 0.27)
4-0 @ 6.47% (-0.09 -0.09)
4-1 @ 5.62% (-0.122 -0.12)
5-0 @ 3.6% (-0.113 -0.11)
3-2 @ 3.52% (-0.043 -0.04)
5-1 @ 3.13% (-0.123 -0.12)
4-2 @ 2.44% (-0.073 -0.07)
6-0 @ 1.67% (-0.082 -0.08)
6-1 @ 1.45% (-0.083 -0.08)
5-2 @ 1.36% (-0.064 -0.06)
Other @ 4.4%
Total : 77.09%
1-1 @ 6.29% (0.185 0.19)
2-2 @ 3.8% (0.019 0.02)
0-0 @ 2.61% (0.139 0.14)
3-3 @ 1.02% (-0.02 -0.02)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 13.88%
1-2 @ 2.73% (0.06 0.06)
0-1 @ 2.26% (0.104 0.1)
2-3 @ 1.1% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
0-2 @ 0.98% (0.038 0.04)
Other @ 1.95%
Total : 9.03%

How you voted: Liverpool vs Newcastle

Liverpool
74.1%
Draw
14.1%
Newcastle United
11.8%
382
Head to Head
Apr 30, 2022 12.30pm
Newcastle
0-1
Liverpool

Joelinton (43')
Keita (19')
Jota (43'), Gomez (51'), Mane (68')
Dec 16, 2021 8pm
Liverpool
3-1
Newcastle
Jota (21'), Salah (25'), Alexander-Arnold (87')
Henderson (70')
Shelvey (7')
Joelinton (45+2'), Fraser (55'), Hayden (86')
Apr 24, 2021 12.30pm
Liverpool
1-1
Newcastle
Salah (3')
Kabak (9'), Fabinho (89')
Willock (90+5')
Fernandez (16')
Dec 30, 2020 8pm
Newcastle
0-0
Liverpool

Clark (12'), Hayden (85')

Fabinho (49'), Milner (65'), Phillips (78')
Jul 26, 2020 4pm
Newcastle
1-3
Liverpool
Gayle (1')
Fernandez (33')
Van Dijk (38'), Origi (59'), Mane (89')
> Match Report
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Arsenal37275589286186
2Manchester CityMan City36267391335885
3Liverpool36239481384378
4Aston Villa36207973532067
5Tottenham HotspurSpurs361961171591263
6Newcastle UnitedNewcastle361761379572257
7Chelsea361691173611257
8Manchester UnitedMan Utd36166145256-454
9West Ham UnitedWest Ham371410135971-1252
10Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton361212125458-448
11Bournemouth37139155365-1248
12Crystal Palace371210155258-646
13Wolverhampton WanderersWolves37137175063-1346
14Fulham37128175159-844
15Everton37139153949-1040
16Brentford37109185461-739
17Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest3789204766-1929
18Luton TownLuton3768235081-3126
RBurnley3759234076-3624
RSheffield UnitedSheff Utd37372735101-6616
> Premier League Full Table


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