Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leicester City win with a probability of 42.55%. A win for Brighton & Hove Albion had a probability of 31.92% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leicester City win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.92%) and 2-0 (7.19%). The likeliest Brighton & Hove Albion win was 0-1 (8.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.11%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
Result | ||
Leicester City | Draw | Brighton & Hove Albion |
42.55% | 25.53% | 31.92% |
Both teams to score 54.82% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.01% | 48.99% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.93% | 71.07% |
Leicester City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.09% | 22.91% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.33% | 56.67% |
Brighton & Hove Albion Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.11% | 28.89% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.24% | 64.76% |
Score Analysis |
Leicester City | Draw | Brighton & Hove Albion |
1-0 @ 9.75% 2-1 @ 8.92% 2-0 @ 7.19% 3-1 @ 4.38% 3-0 @ 3.53% 3-2 @ 2.72% 4-1 @ 1.62% 4-0 @ 1.3% 4-2 @ 1% Other @ 2.14% Total : 42.55% | 1-1 @ 12.11% 0-0 @ 6.62% 2-2 @ 5.54% 3-3 @ 1.13% Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.53% | 0-1 @ 8.22% 1-2 @ 7.52% 0-2 @ 5.1% 1-3 @ 3.11% 2-3 @ 2.29% 0-3 @ 2.11% 1-4 @ 0.97% Other @ 2.59% Total : 31.92% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Manchester CityMan City | 38 | 28 | 7 | 3 | 96 | 34 | 62 | 91 |
2 | Arsenal | 38 | 28 | 5 | 5 | 91 | 29 | 62 | 89 |
3 | Liverpool | 38 | 24 | 10 | 4 | 86 | 41 | 45 | 82 |
4 | Aston Villa | 38 | 20 | 8 | 10 | 76 | 61 | 15 | 68 |
5 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 38 | 20 | 6 | 12 | 74 | 61 | 13 | 66 |
6 | Chelsea | 38 | 18 | 9 | 11 | 77 | 63 | 14 | 63 |
7 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 38 | 18 | 6 | 14 | 85 | 62 | 23 | 60 |
8 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 38 | 18 | 6 | 14 | 57 | 58 | -1 | 60 |
9 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 38 | 14 | 10 | 14 | 60 | 74 | -14 | 52 |
10 | Crystal Palace | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 57 | 58 | -1 | 49 |
11 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 38 | 12 | 12 | 14 | 55 | 62 | -7 | 48 |
12 | Bournemouth | 38 | 13 | 9 | 16 | 54 | 67 | -13 | 48 |
13 | Fulham | 38 | 13 | 8 | 17 | 55 | 61 | -6 | 47 |
14 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 38 | 13 | 7 | 18 | 50 | 65 | -15 | 46 |
15 | Everton | 38 | 13 | 9 | 16 | 40 | 51 | -11 | 40 |
16 | Brentford | 38 | 10 | 9 | 19 | 56 | 65 | -9 | 39 |
17 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 38 | 9 | 9 | 20 | 49 | 67 | -18 | 32 |
R | Luton TownLuton | 38 | 6 | 8 | 24 | 52 | 85 | -33 | 26 |
R | Burnley | 38 | 5 | 9 | 24 | 41 | 78 | -37 | 24 |
R | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 38 | 3 | 7 | 28 | 35 | 104 | -69 | 16 |
> Premier League Full Table |