Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fulham win with a probability of 37.28%. A win for Luton Town had a probability of 35.88% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fulham win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.15%) and 2-0 (6.53%). The likeliest Luton Town win was 0-1 (9.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.75%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Fulham in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Fulham.
Result | ||
Fulham | Draw | Luton Town |
37.28% ( -0.01) | 26.84% ( -0) | 35.88% ( 0.01) |
Both teams to score 51.42% ( 0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.27% ( 0.01) | 53.73% ( -0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.78% ( 0.01) | 75.22% ( -0.01) |
Fulham Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.12% ( 0) | 27.88% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.51% ( 0) | 63.49% |
Luton Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.29% ( 0.01) | 28.71% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.46% ( 0.02) | 64.54% ( -0.02) |
Score Analysis |
Fulham | Draw | Luton Town |
1-0 @ 10.22% 2-1 @ 8.15% ( -0) 2-0 @ 6.53% ( -0) 3-1 @ 3.47% 3-0 @ 2.78% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.17% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.11% Other @ 2.85% Total : 37.27% | 1-1 @ 12.75% 0-0 @ 8% ( -0) 2-2 @ 5.08% ( 0) 3-3 @ 0.9% ( 0) Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.83% | 0-1 @ 9.99% ( -0) 1-2 @ 7.96% ( 0) 0-2 @ 6.23% ( 0) 1-3 @ 3.31% ( 0) 0-3 @ 2.59% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.12% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.03% ( 0) Other @ 2.65% Total : 35.88% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Arsenal | 35 | 25 | 5 | 5 | 85 | 28 | 57 | 80 |
2 | Manchester CityMan City | 34 | 24 | 7 | 3 | 82 | 32 | 50 | 79 |
3 | Liverpool | 35 | 22 | 9 | 4 | 77 | 36 | 41 | 75 |
4 | Aston Villa | 35 | 20 | 7 | 8 | 73 | 52 | 21 | 67 |
5 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 33 | 18 | 6 | 9 | 67 | 52 | 15 | 60 |
6 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 34 | 16 | 6 | 12 | 52 | 51 | 1 | 54 |
7 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 34 | 16 | 5 | 13 | 74 | 55 | 19 | 53 |
8 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 35 | 13 | 10 | 12 | 56 | 65 | -9 | 49 |
9 | Chelsea | 33 | 13 | 9 | 11 | 63 | 59 | 4 | 48 |
10 | Bournemouth | 35 | 13 | 9 | 13 | 52 | 60 | -8 | 48 |
11 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 35 | 13 | 7 | 15 | 48 | 55 | -7 | 46 |
12 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 52 | 57 | -5 | 44 |
13 | Fulham | 35 | 12 | 7 | 16 | 51 | 55 | -4 | 43 |
14 | Crystal Palace | 35 | 10 | 10 | 15 | 45 | 57 | -12 | 40 |
15 | Everton | 35 | 12 | 8 | 15 | 37 | 48 | -11 | 36 |
16 | Brentford | 35 | 9 | 8 | 18 | 52 | 60 | -8 | 35 |
17 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 35 | 7 | 9 | 19 | 42 | 62 | -20 | 26 |
18 | Luton TownLuton | 35 | 6 | 7 | 22 | 48 | 77 | -29 | 25 |
19 | Burnley | 35 | 5 | 9 | 21 | 38 | 70 | -32 | 24 |
R | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 35 | 3 | 7 | 25 | 34 | 97 | -63 | 16 |
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