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Premier League | Gameweek 11
Nov 6, 2021 at 5.30pm UK
Falmer Stadium
Newcastle logo

Brighton
1 - 1
Newcastle

Trossard (24' pen.)
Lallana (75'), Bissouma (84'), Maupay (84')
Sanchez (90+2')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Hayden (66')
Lascelles (12'), Murphy (60'), Shelvey (69'), Wilson (73')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Premier League clash between Brighton & Hove Albion and Newcastle United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brighton & Hove Albion win with a probability of 49.78%. A draw had a probability of 27% and a win for Newcastle United had a probability of 23.18%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brighton & Hove Albion win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.15%) and 2-1 (8.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.51%), while for a Newcastle United win it was 0-1 (8.8%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood.

Result
Brighton & Hove AlbionDrawNewcastle United
49.78%27.04%23.18%
Both teams to score 44.29%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.35%59.64%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.03%79.97%
Brighton & Hove Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.88%24.12%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.57%58.43%
Newcastle United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.37%41.62%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.89%78.11%
Score Analysis
    Brighton & Hove Albion 49.77%
    Newcastle United 23.18%
    Draw 27.03%
Brighton & Hove AlbionDrawNewcastle United
1-0 @ 14.27%
2-0 @ 10.15%
2-1 @ 8.9%
3-0 @ 4.81%
3-1 @ 4.22%
3-2 @ 1.85%
4-0 @ 1.71%
4-1 @ 1.5%
Other @ 2.36%
Total : 49.77%
1-1 @ 12.51%
0-0 @ 10.04%
2-2 @ 3.9%
Other @ 0.58%
Total : 27.03%
0-1 @ 8.8%
1-2 @ 5.48%
0-2 @ 3.86%
1-3 @ 1.6%
2-3 @ 1.14%
0-3 @ 1.13%
Other @ 1.17%
Total : 23.18%

How you voted: Brighton vs Newcastle

Brighton & Hove Albion
76.9%
Draw
13.8%
Newcastle United
9.2%
195
Head to Head
Mar 20, 2021 8pm
Sep 20, 2020 2pm
Gameweek 2
Newcastle
0-3
Brighton

Shelvey (12'), Lewis (25'), Lascelles (34')
Maupay (4' pen., 7'), Connolly (83')
Bissouma (89')
Jul 20, 2020 6pm
Gameweek 37
Brighton
0-0
Newcastle
Bissouma (23'), Gross (26'), Stephens (46'), Webster (87')
Ritchie (31'), Rose (63')
Sep 21, 2019 5.30pm
Apr 27, 2019 5.30pm
Gameweek 36
Brighton
1-1
Newcastle
Gross (75')
Andone (11'), Bissouma (78')
Perez (18')
Dummett (25'), Ritchie (45'), Muto (84')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CManchester CityMan City38287396346291
2Arsenal38285591296289
3Liverpool382410486414582
4Aston Villa382081076611568
5Tottenham HotspurSpurs382061274611366
6Chelsea381891177631463
7Newcastle UnitedNewcastle381861485622360
8Manchester UnitedMan Utd38186145758-160
9West Ham UnitedWest Ham381410146074-1452
10Crystal Palace381310155758-149
11Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton381212145562-748
12Bournemouth38139165467-1348
13Fulham38138175561-647
14Wolverhampton WanderersWolves38137185065-1546
15Everton38139164051-1140
16Brentford38109195665-939
17Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest3899204967-1832
RLuton TownLuton3868245285-3326
RBurnley3859244178-3724
RSheffield UnitedSheff Utd38372835104-6916


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