Polish Ekstraklasa | Gameweek 12
Oct 21, 2023 at 7pm UK
INEA stadion
Lech Poznan3 - 1LKS Lodz
Coverage of the Polish Ekstraklasa clash between Lech Poznan and LKS Lodz.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Lech Poznan 4-1 Puszcza Niepolomice
Friday, October 6 at 7.30pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Friday, October 6 at 7.30pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Goals
for
for
19
Last Game: Radomiak Radom 3-0 LKS Lodz
Saturday, October 7 at 11.30am in Polish Ekstraklasa
Saturday, October 7 at 11.30am in Polish Ekstraklasa
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lech Poznan win with a probability of 60.19%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for LKS Lodz had a probability of 18.25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lech Poznan win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.23%) and 2-1 (9.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.2%), while for a LKS Lodz win it was 0-1 (5.23%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lech Poznan would win this match.
Result | ||
Lech Poznan | Draw | LKS Lodz |
60.19% ( 0.26) | 21.56% ( -0.17) | 18.25% ( -0.1) |
Both teams to score 53.3% ( 0.36) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.9% ( 0.57) | 44.1% ( -0.57) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.52% ( 0.55) | 66.48% ( -0.56) |
Lech Poznan Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.77% ( 0.27) | 14.23% ( -0.27) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
58.03% ( 0.52) | 41.97% ( -0.52) |
LKS Lodz Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.14% ( 0.23) | 37.85% ( -0.23) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.37% ( 0.22) | 74.63% ( -0.22) |
Score Analysis |
Lech Poznan 60.18%
LKS Lodz 18.25%
Draw 21.56%
Lech Poznan | Draw | LKS Lodz |
1-0 @ 10.5% ( -0.16) 2-0 @ 10.23% ( -0.06) 2-1 @ 9.95% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 6.66% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 6.47% ( 0.07) 4-0 @ 3.25% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 3.15% ( 0.06) 3-2 @ 3.14% ( 0.05) 4-2 @ 1.53% ( 0.04) 5-0 @ 1.27% ( 0.03) 5-1 @ 1.23% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.81% Total : 60.18% | 1-1 @ 10.2% ( -0.09) 0-0 @ 5.39% ( -0.14) 2-2 @ 4.83% ( 0.03) 3-3 @ 1.02% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.13% Total : 21.56% | 0-1 @ 5.23% ( -0.1) 1-2 @ 4.96% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 2.54% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 1.61% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.57% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.35% Total : 18.25% |
Form Guide
rhs 2.0
LT: 2024-04-29 09:37:16
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Jagiellonia BialystokJagiellonia | 30 | 16 | 8 | 6 | 68 | 41 | 27 | 56 |
2 | Lech Poznan | 30 | 14 | 10 | 6 | 43 | 34 | 9 | 52 |
3 | Slask Wroclaw | 30 | 14 | 9 | 7 | 40 | 29 | 11 | 51 |
4 | Gornik ZabrzeGornik | 30 | 15 | 6 | 9 | 43 | 33 | 10 | 51 |
5 | Legia WarsawLegia | 30 | 13 | 11 | 6 | 46 | 34 | 12 | 50 |
6 | Rakow CzestochowaRakow | 30 | 13 | 10 | 7 | 51 | 32 | 19 | 49 |
7 | Pogon SzczecinSzczecin | 30 | 14 | 6 | 10 | 56 | 36 | 20 | 48 |
8 | Widzew Lodz | 30 | 12 | 6 | 12 | 39 | 39 | 0 | 42 |
9 | Piast GliwicePiast Gliwice | 30 | 8 | 14 | 8 | 32 | 32 | 0 | 38 |
10 | Stal Mielec | 30 | 10 | 8 | 12 | 36 | 42 | -6 | 38 |
11 | Zaglebie Lubin | 30 | 10 | 8 | 12 | 35 | 46 | -11 | 38 |
12 | Radomiak Radom | 30 | 9 | 8 | 13 | 37 | 51 | -14 | 35 |
13 | Warta Poznan | 30 | 8 | 10 | 12 | 31 | 37 | -6 | 34 |
14 | KS CracoviaCracovia | 30 | 6 | 15 | 9 | 38 | 40 | -2 | 33 |
15 | Puszcza Niepolomice | 29 | 7 | 11 | 11 | 35 | 46 | -11 | 32 |
16 | Korona Kielce | 29 | 6 | 12 | 11 | 34 | 38 | -4 | 30 |
17 | Ruch Chorzow | 30 | 3 | 14 | 13 | 34 | 52 | -18 | 23 |
18 | LKS Lodz | 30 | 5 | 6 | 19 | 29 | 65 | -36 | 21 |
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