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UEFA Nations League header

UEFA Nations League
Kazakhstan national football team
Nations League | League C
Jun 3, 2022 at 3pm UK
 
Azerbaijan national football team

Kazakhstan
2 - 0
Azerbaijan

Aymbetov (50', 60')
Marochkin (36'), Akhmetov (38'), Kuat (90+4')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Silvestre (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Nations League clash between Kazakhstan and Azerbaijan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Kazakhstan

Last Six:
Last Game: Slovakia 0-1 Kazakhstan
Monday, June 6 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Next Game: Belarus vs. Kazakhstan
Friday, June 10 at 7.45pm in Nations League

Azerbaijan

Last Six:
Last Game: Belarus 0-0 Azerbaijan
Monday, June 6 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Next Game: Azerbaijan vs. Slovakia
Friday, June 10 at 5pm in Nations League

We said: Kazakhstan 1-1 Azerbaijan

 With Slovakia the clear favourites to top the group, neither of these sides can afford defeat in their opening fixture. A draw may not prove beneficial, especially for Kazakhstan, but we feel that a low-scoring stalemate is the most likely outcome on Friday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kazakhstan win with a probability of 41.56%. A win for Azerbaijan had a probability of 35.81% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kazakhstan win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.94%) and 2-0 (5.24%). The likeliest Azerbaijan win was 1-2 (7.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.66%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kazakhstan would win this match.

Result
KazakhstanDrawAzerbaijan
41.56% (0.091000000000001 0.09) 22.62% (-0.0070000000000014 -0.01) 35.81% (-0.082000000000001 -0.08)
Both teams to score 66.59% (0.01400000000001 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
65.87% (0.025999999999996 0.03)34.13% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
43.98% (0.030999999999999 0.03)56.01% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
Kazakhstan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.88% (0.046000000000006 0.05)17.12% (-0.046000000000003 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.67% (0.082999999999998 0.08)47.33% (-0.082000000000001 -0.08)
Azerbaijan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.34% (-0.027999999999992 -0.03)19.66% (0.027999999999999 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.36% (-0.048000000000002 -0.05)51.63% (0.048999999999999 0.05)
Score Analysis
    Kazakhstan 41.56%
    Azerbaijan 35.81%
    Draw 22.62%
KazakhstanDrawAzerbaijan
2-1 @ 8.53% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
1-0 @ 5.94% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-0 @ 5.24% (0.0089999999999995 0.01)
3-1 @ 5.02% (0.013000000000001 0.01)
3-2 @ 4.08% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-0 @ 3.08% (0.01 0.01)
4-1 @ 2.21% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.8% (0.006 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.36% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
4-3 @ 0.98% (0.002 0)
Other @ 3.32%
Total : 41.56%
1-1 @ 9.66% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-2 @ 6.94%
0-0 @ 3.37% (-0.004 -0)
3-3 @ 2.21% (0.0020000000000002 0)
Other @ 0.45%
Total : 22.62%
1-2 @ 7.86% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-1 @ 5.47% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-2 @ 4.45% (-0.014 -0.01)
1-3 @ 4.26% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-3 @ 3.76% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
0-3 @ 2.41% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.73% (-0.006 -0.01)
2-4 @ 1.53% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-4 @ 0.98% (-0.005 -0.01)
Other @ 3.35%
Total : 35.81%

How you voted: Kazakhstan vs Azerbaijan

Kazakhstan
62.4%
Draw
29.7%
Azerbaijan
7.9%
101
Head to Head
Jun 5, 2018 3pm
Kazakhstan
3-0
Azerbaijan
Murtazayev (13'), Muzhikov (14'), Zainutdinov (90')
Tunggyshbayev (48'), Zhukov (90')

Khalilzade (35')
rhs 2.0
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