Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bromley win with a probability of 48.3%. A win for Maidstone United had a probability of 27.17% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bromley win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.47%) and 0-2 (8.15%). The likeliest Maidstone United win was 1-0 (7.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.6%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bromley would win this match.
Result | ||
Maidstone United | Draw | Bromley |
27.17% ( -6.33) | 24.53% ( -0.69) | 48.3% ( 7.01) |
Both teams to score 55.27% ( -1.14) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.9% ( 0.07) | 47.1% ( -0.07) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.66% ( 0.06) | 69.34% ( -0.06) |
Maidstone United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.71% ( -4.29) | 31.29% ( 4.29) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.36% ( -5.3) | 67.64% ( 5.29) |
Bromley Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.44% ( 3.17) | 19.56% ( -3.17) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48.52% ( 4.93) | 51.47% ( -4.94) |
Score Analysis |
Maidstone United | Draw | Bromley |
1-0 @ 7.11% ( -0.93) 2-1 @ 6.74% ( -1.05) 2-0 @ 4.13% ( -1.13) 3-1 @ 2.61% ( -0.79) 3-2 @ 2.13% ( -0.39) 3-0 @ 1.6% ( -0.7) Other @ 2.84% Total : 27.17% | 1-1 @ 11.6% ( -0.3) 0-0 @ 6.12% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 5.5% ( -0.27) 3-3 @ 1.16% ( -0.09) Other @ 0.15% Total : 24.53% | 0-1 @ 9.99% ( 0.89) 1-2 @ 9.47% ( 0.65) 0-2 @ 8.15% ( 1.41) 1-3 @ 5.15% ( 0.8) 0-3 @ 4.43% ( 1.11) 2-3 @ 2.99% ( 0.14) 1-4 @ 2.1% ( 0.49) 0-4 @ 1.81% ( 0.58) 2-4 @ 1.22% ( 0.16) Other @ 3% Total : 48.3% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Chesterfield | 46 | 31 | 5 | 10 | 106 | 65 | 41 | 98 |
2 | Barnet | 46 | 26 | 8 | 12 | 91 | 60 | 31 | 86 |
3 | Bromley | 46 | 22 | 15 | 9 | 73 | 49 | 24 | 81 |
4 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 46 | 22 | 11 | 13 | 84 | 59 | 25 | 77 |
5 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 46 | 21 | 13 | 12 | 71 | 62 | 9 | 76 |
6 | Gateshead | 46 | 22 | 9 | 15 | 88 | 64 | 24 | 75 |
7 | Halifax TownHalifax | 46 | 19 | 14 | 13 | 58 | 50 | 8 | 71 |
8 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 46 | 20 | 9 | 17 | 74 | 83 | -9 | 69 |
9 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 46 | 21 | 12 | 13 | 70 | 45 | 25 | 65 |
10 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 46 | 15 | 18 | 13 | 63 | 60 | 3 | 63 |
11 | Rochdale | 46 | 16 | 14 | 16 | 69 | 64 | 5 | 62 |
12 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 46 | 17 | 9 | 20 | 70 | 82 | -12 | 60 |
13 | Eastleigh | 46 | 16 | 11 | 19 | 73 | 87 | -14 | 59 |
14 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 46 | 15 | 13 | 18 | 60 | 67 | -7 | 58 |
15 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 46 | 14 | 14 | 18 | 69 | 63 | 6 | 56 |
16 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 46 | 15 | 11 | 20 | 60 | 72 | -12 | 56 |
17 | Woking | 46 | 15 | 10 | 21 | 49 | 55 | -6 | 55 |
18 | Fylde | 46 | 15 | 10 | 21 | 74 | 82 | -8 | 55 |
19 | Ebbsfleet | 46 | 14 | 12 | 20 | 59 | 74 | -15 | 54 |
20 | York City | 46 | 12 | 17 | 17 | 55 | 69 | -14 | 53 |
21 | Boreham WoodBoreham Wood | 46 | 12 | 16 | 18 | 59 | 73 | -14 | 52 |
22 | Kidderminster HarriersKidderminster | 46 | 11 | 13 | 22 | 40 | 59 | -19 | 46 |
23 | Dorking WanderersDorking | 46 | 12 | 9 | 25 | 54 | 85 | -31 | 45 |
24 | Oxford CityOxford City | 46 | 8 | 9 | 29 | 54 | 94 | -40 | 33 |
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