Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kidderminster Harriers win with a probability of 40.13%. A win for Fylde had a probability of 32.41% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kidderminster Harriers win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.35%) and 0-2 (7.41%). The likeliest Fylde win was 1-0 (10.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.97%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood.
Result | ||
Fylde | Draw | Kidderminster Harriers |
32.41% ( 5.16) | 27.46% ( 0.27) | 40.13% ( -5.44) |
Both teams to score 48.93% ( 1.67) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
43.39% ( 0.95) | 56.61% ( -0.95) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
22.42% ( 0.76) | 77.58% ( -0.76) |
Fylde Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.6% ( 4.41) | 32.4% ( -4.41) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.08% ( 4.68) | 68.91% ( -4.68) |
Kidderminster Harriers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.38% ( -2.41) | 27.61% ( 2.41) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.85% ( -3.21) | 63.15% ( 3.2) |
Score Analysis |
Fylde | Draw | Kidderminster Harriers |
1-0 @ 10.08% ( 0.81) 2-1 @ 7.31% ( 0.93) 2-0 @ 5.68% ( 1.05) 3-1 @ 2.75% ( 0.62) 3-0 @ 2.14% ( 0.59) 3-2 @ 1.77% ( 0.3) Other @ 2.68% Total : 32.4% | 1-1 @ 12.97% ( 0.2) 0-0 @ 8.95% ( -0.33) 2-2 @ 4.71% ( 0.31) Other @ 0.83% Total : 27.45% | 0-1 @ 11.51% ( -1.27) 1-2 @ 8.35% ( -0.46) 0-2 @ 7.41% ( -1.4) 1-3 @ 3.58% ( -0.46) 0-3 @ 3.18% ( -0.87) 2-3 @ 2.02% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.15% ( -0.24) 0-4 @ 1.02% ( -0.37) Other @ 1.91% Total : 40.13% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Chesterfield | 46 | 31 | 5 | 10 | 106 | 65 | 41 | 98 |
2 | Barnet | 46 | 26 | 8 | 12 | 91 | 60 | 31 | 86 |
3 | Bromley | 46 | 22 | 15 | 9 | 73 | 49 | 24 | 81 |
4 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 46 | 22 | 11 | 13 | 84 | 59 | 25 | 77 |
5 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 46 | 21 | 13 | 12 | 71 | 62 | 9 | 76 |
6 | Gateshead | 46 | 22 | 9 | 15 | 88 | 64 | 24 | 75 |
7 | Halifax TownHalifax | 46 | 19 | 14 | 13 | 58 | 50 | 8 | 71 |
8 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 46 | 20 | 9 | 17 | 74 | 83 | -9 | 69 |
9 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 46 | 21 | 12 | 13 | 70 | 45 | 25 | 65 |
10 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 46 | 15 | 18 | 13 | 63 | 60 | 3 | 63 |
11 | Rochdale | 46 | 16 | 14 | 16 | 69 | 64 | 5 | 62 |
12 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 46 | 17 | 9 | 20 | 70 | 82 | -12 | 60 |
13 | Eastleigh | 46 | 16 | 11 | 19 | 73 | 87 | -14 | 59 |
14 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 46 | 15 | 13 | 18 | 60 | 67 | -7 | 58 |
15 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 46 | 14 | 14 | 18 | 69 | 63 | 6 | 56 |
16 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 46 | 15 | 11 | 20 | 60 | 72 | -12 | 56 |
17 | Woking | 46 | 15 | 10 | 21 | 49 | 55 | -6 | 55 |
18 | Fylde | 46 | 15 | 10 | 21 | 74 | 82 | -8 | 55 |
19 | Ebbsfleet | 46 | 14 | 12 | 20 | 59 | 74 | -15 | 54 |
20 | York City | 46 | 12 | 17 | 17 | 55 | 69 | -14 | 53 |
21 | Boreham WoodBoreham Wood | 46 | 12 | 16 | 18 | 59 | 73 | -14 | 52 |
22 | Kidderminster HarriersKidderminster | 46 | 11 | 13 | 22 | 40 | 59 | -19 | 46 |
23 | Dorking WanderersDorking | 46 | 12 | 9 | 25 | 54 | 85 | -31 | 45 |
24 | Oxford CityOxford City | 46 | 8 | 9 | 29 | 54 | 94 | -40 | 33 |
> National League Full Table |