Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chesterfield win with a probability of 69.36%. A draw had a probability of 18% and a win for Kidderminster Harriers had a probability of 12.63%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chesterfield win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.88%) and 2-1 (9.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.49%), while for a Kidderminster Harriers win it was 0-1 (3.73%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 1% likelihood.
Result | ||
Chesterfield | Draw | Kidderminster Harriers |
69.36% ( -0.34) | 18.01% ( 0.18) | 12.63% ( 0.16) |
Both teams to score 51.76% ( -0.15) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
60.71% ( -0.44) | 39.29% ( 0.44) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
38.38% ( -0.46) | 61.62% ( 0.47) |
Chesterfield Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
89.76% ( -0.2) | 10.24% ( 0.2) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
66.43% ( -0.46) | 33.57% ( 0.47) |
Kidderminster Harriers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
57.67% ( -0.03) | 42.33% ( 0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
21.28% ( -0.03) | 78.72% ( 0.03) |
Score Analysis |
Chesterfield | Draw | Kidderminster Harriers |
2-0 @ 11.25% ( 0.04) 1-0 @ 9.88% ( 0.12) 2-1 @ 9.68% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 8.55% ( -0.05) 3-1 @ 7.35% ( -0.05) 4-0 @ 4.87% ( -0.07) 4-1 @ 4.19% ( -0.06) 3-2 @ 3.16% ( -0.02) 5-0 @ 2.22% ( -0.05) 5-1 @ 1.91% ( -0.05) 4-2 @ 1.8% ( -0.03) Other @ 4.5% Total : 69.36% | 1-1 @ 8.49% ( 0.09) 0-0 @ 4.33% ( 0.09) 2-2 @ 4.16% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 0.91% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.12% Total : 18.01% | 0-1 @ 3.73% ( 0.07) 1-2 @ 3.65% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 1.6% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 1.19% ( 0) 1-3 @ 1.05% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.41% Total : 12.63% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Chesterfield | 46 | 31 | 5 | 10 | 106 | 65 | 41 | 98 |
2 | Barnet | 46 | 26 | 8 | 12 | 91 | 60 | 31 | 86 |
3 | Bromley | 46 | 22 | 15 | 9 | 73 | 49 | 24 | 81 |
4 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 46 | 22 | 11 | 13 | 84 | 59 | 25 | 77 |
5 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 46 | 21 | 13 | 12 | 71 | 62 | 9 | 76 |
6 | Gateshead | 46 | 22 | 9 | 15 | 88 | 64 | 24 | 75 |
7 | Halifax TownHalifax | 46 | 19 | 14 | 13 | 58 | 50 | 8 | 71 |
8 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 46 | 20 | 9 | 17 | 74 | 83 | -9 | 69 |
9 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 46 | 21 | 12 | 13 | 70 | 45 | 25 | 65 |
10 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 46 | 15 | 18 | 13 | 63 | 60 | 3 | 63 |
11 | Rochdale | 46 | 16 | 14 | 16 | 69 | 64 | 5 | 62 |
12 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 46 | 17 | 9 | 20 | 70 | 82 | -12 | 60 |
13 | Eastleigh | 46 | 16 | 11 | 19 | 73 | 87 | -14 | 59 |
14 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 46 | 15 | 13 | 18 | 60 | 67 | -7 | 58 |
15 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 46 | 14 | 14 | 18 | 69 | 63 | 6 | 56 |
16 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 46 | 15 | 11 | 20 | 60 | 72 | -12 | 56 |
17 | Woking | 46 | 15 | 10 | 21 | 49 | 55 | -6 | 55 |
18 | Fylde | 46 | 15 | 10 | 21 | 74 | 82 | -8 | 55 |
19 | Ebbsfleet | 46 | 14 | 12 | 20 | 59 | 74 | -15 | 54 |
20 | York City | 46 | 12 | 17 | 17 | 55 | 69 | -14 | 53 |
21 | Boreham WoodBoreham Wood | 46 | 12 | 16 | 18 | 59 | 73 | -14 | 52 |
22 | Kidderminster HarriersKidderminster | 46 | 11 | 13 | 22 | 40 | 59 | -19 | 46 |
23 | Dorking WanderersDorking | 46 | 12 | 9 | 25 | 54 | 85 | -31 | 45 |
24 | Oxford CityOxford City | 46 | 8 | 9 | 29 | 54 | 94 | -40 | 33 |
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