Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Kansas City win with a probability of 54.92%. A win for Inter Miami had a probability of 23.37% and a draw had a probability of 21.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Kansas City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.98%) and 2-0 (7.92%). The likeliest Inter Miami win was 1-2 (6.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.81%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-3 win for Inter Miami in this match.
Result | ||
Sporting Kansas City | Draw | Inter Miami |
54.92% ( 0.06) | 21.7% ( -0.02) | 23.37% ( -0.04) |
Both teams to score 61.02% ( 0.03) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
62.29% ( 0.06) | 37.71% ( -0.06) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
40.05% ( 0.06) | 59.95% ( -0.06) |
Sporting Kansas City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.26% ( 0.04) | 13.74% ( -0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
58.98% ( 0.08) | 41.01% ( -0.08) |
Inter Miami Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.74% ( 0) | 29.26% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.78% ( 0) | 65.22% ( -0) |
Score Analysis |
Sporting Kansas City | Draw | Inter Miami |
2-1 @ 9.73% ( 0) 1-0 @ 7.98% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 7.92% 3-1 @ 6.44% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 5.24% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 3.96% ( 0) 4-1 @ 3.2% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 2.6% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.96% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 1.27% ( 0.01) 5-0 @ 1.03% ( 0) Other @ 3.6% Total : 54.92% | 1-1 @ 9.81% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.98% 0-0 @ 4.02% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.62% ( 0) Other @ 0.27% Total : 21.7% | 1-2 @ 6.03% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 4.94% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 3.04% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 2.47% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.45% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.24% ( -0) Other @ 3.2% Total : 23.37% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 26 | 16 | 10 | 21 |
2 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 9 | 3 | 18 |
3 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 10 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 14 | 10 | 4 | 17 |
4 | Toronto | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 13 | -2 | 16 |
5 | Columbus Crew | 10 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 12 | 9 | 3 | 15 |
6 | New York City FCNY City | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 10 | 1 | 14 |
7 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 15 | 11 | 4 | 13 |
8 | DC United | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 14 | 15 | -1 | 13 |
9 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 13 | 9 | 4 | 12 |
10 | CF MontrealMontreal | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 16 | -4 | 12 |
11 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 10 | 13 | -3 | 11 |
12 | Chicago Fire | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 11 | 18 | -7 | 10 |
13 | Orlando City | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 11 | 17 | -6 | 9 |
14 | Nashville SCNashville | 9 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 17 | -7 | 8 |
15 | New England RevolutionNew England | 9 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 6 | 18 | -12 | 4 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 18 |
2 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 18 |
3 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 18 | 10 | 8 | 17 |
4 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 15 | 10 | 5 | 17 |
5 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 18 | 16 | 2 | 15 |
6 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 16 | 15 | 1 | 15 |
7 | Austin FCAustin | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 14 | 13 | 1 | 15 |
8 | Houston DynamoHouston | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 10 | -1 | 13 |
9 | St Louis City | 9 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 12 |
10 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 18 | 18 | 0 | 11 |
11 | Portland TimbersPortland | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 20 | 21 | -1 | 10 |
12 | Dallas | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 12 | -3 | 8 |
13 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 11 | -1 | 6 |
14 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 10 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 14 | 25 | -11 | 4 |