Major League Soccer

Jul 28, 2020 at 1.30am UK

ESPN Wide World of Sports Complex Field 17

Earthquakes
5 - 2
Salt Lake

Espinoza (21'), Eriksson (49' pen., 90+6' pen.), Qazaishvili (61'), Wondolowski (86')
Espinoza (31')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Martinez (22'), Kreilach (75')
Herrera (29'), Baird (37'), Glad (66')

Coverage of the Major League Soccer clash between San Jose Earthquakes and Real Salt Lake.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a San Jose Earthquakes win with a probability of 49.12%. A win for Real Salt Lake had a probability of 28.45% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a San Jose Earthquakes win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.13%) and 2-0 (6.72%). The likeliest Real Salt Lake win was 1-2 (6.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.92%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that San Jose Earthquakes would win this match.

Result
San Jose Earthquakes	Draw	Real Salt Lake
49.12%	22.42%	28.45%

Both teams to score 63.68%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

63.52%

36.47%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

41.38%

58.61%

San Jose Earthquakes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.79%

15.21%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

56.15%

43.84%

Real Salt Lake Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.1%

24.9%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.48%

59.52%

Score Analysis

San Jose Earthquakes 49.12%

Real Salt Lake 28.45%

Draw 22.42%

San Jose Earthquakes	Draw	Real Salt Lake
2-1 @ 9.34% 1-0 @ 7.13% 2-0 @ 6.72% 3-1 @ 5.86% 3-0 @ 4.22% 3-2 @ 4.08% 4-1 @ 2.76% 4-0 @ 1.99% 4-2 @ 1.92% 5-1 @ 1.04% Other @ 4.08% Total : 49.12%	1-1 @ 9.92% 2-2 @ 6.49% 0-0 @ 3.79% 3-3 @ 1.89% Other @ 0.34% Total : 22.42%	1-2 @ 6.89% 0-1 @ 5.26% 0-2 @ 3.66% 1-3 @ 3.19% 2-3 @ 3.01% 0-3 @ 1.7% 1-4 @ 1.11% 2-4 @ 1.05% Other @ 2.58% Total : 28.45%