Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York Red Bulls win with a probability of 62.43%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for Chicago Fire had a probability of 15.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a New York Red Bulls win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.7%) and 2-1 (9.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.3%), while for a Chicago Fire win it was 0-1 (5.42%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood.
Result | ||
New York Red Bulls | Draw | Chicago Fire |
62.43% ( -0.03) | 21.68% ( -0.07) | 15.9% ( 0.11) |
Both teams to score 48.16% ( 0.47) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.49% ( 0.5) | 48.52% ( -0.49) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.36% ( 0.45) | 70.64% ( -0.45) |
New York Red Bulls Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.03% ( 0.16) | 14.97% ( -0.15) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
56.6% ( 0.29) | 43.4% ( -0.29) |
Chicago Fire Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
56.64% ( 0.45) | 43.36% ( -0.44) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
20.41% ( 0.37) | 79.59% ( -0.37) |
Score Analysis |
New York Red Bulls | Draw | Chicago Fire |
1-0 @ 12.32% ( -0.19) 2-0 @ 11.7% ( -0.11) 2-1 @ 9.78% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 7.41% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 6.19% ( 0.05) 4-0 @ 3.52% ( 0) 4-1 @ 2.94% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 2.59% ( 0.05) 5-0 @ 1.34% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.23% ( 0.03) 5-1 @ 1.12% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.29% Total : 62.41% | 1-1 @ 10.3% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 6.49% ( -0.13) 2-2 @ 4.09% ( 0.06) Other @ 0.8% Total : 21.68% | 0-1 @ 5.42% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 4.3% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 2.27% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 1.2% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 1.14% ( 0.03) Other @ 1.57% Total : 15.9% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 26 | 16 | 10 | 21 |
2 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 9 | 3 | 18 |
3 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 10 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 14 | 10 | 4 | 17 |
4 | Toronto | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 13 | -2 | 16 |
5 | Columbus Crew | 10 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 12 | 9 | 3 | 15 |
6 | New York City FCNY City | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 10 | 1 | 14 |
7 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 15 | 11 | 4 | 13 |
8 | DC United | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 14 | 15 | -1 | 13 |
9 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 13 | 9 | 4 | 12 |
10 | CF MontrealMontreal | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 16 | -4 | 12 |
11 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 10 | 13 | -3 | 11 |
12 | Chicago Fire | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 11 | 18 | -7 | 10 |
13 | Orlando City | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 11 | 17 | -6 | 9 |
14 | Nashville SCNashville | 9 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 17 | -7 | 8 |
15 | New England RevolutionNew England | 9 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 6 | 18 | -12 | 4 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 18 |
2 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 18 |
3 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 18 | 10 | 8 | 17 |
4 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 15 | 10 | 5 | 17 |
5 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 18 | 16 | 2 | 15 |
6 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 16 | 15 | 1 | 15 |
7 | Austin FCAustin | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 14 | 13 | 1 | 15 |
8 | Houston DynamoHouston | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 10 | -1 | 13 |
9 | St Louis City | 9 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 12 |
10 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 18 | 18 | 0 | 11 |
11 | Portland TimbersPortland | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 20 | 21 | -1 | 10 |
12 | Dallas | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 12 | -3 | 8 |
13 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 11 | -1 | 6 |
14 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 10 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 14 | 25 | -11 | 4 |