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Philadelphia Union
Major League Soccer
Sep 28, 2023 at 12.30am UK
Subaru Park
FC Dallas

Philadelphia
1 - 1
Dallas

Sullivan (25')
Mbaizo (21'), Bueno (24')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Velasco (36')
Velasco (28'), Twumasi (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Major League Soccer clash between Philadelphia Union and Dallas, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Philadelphia 0-0 Los Angeles
Sunday, September 24 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Dallas 1-1 Columbus Crew
Sunday, September 24 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Philadelphia Union 1-0 Dallas

Subaru Park is one of the most challenging places for opposing teams to come away with three points, and this will be a match where both teams have a lot to play for, even though the Union have already clinched a playoff berth. The scoring depth of Philly should be enough to get them over the line against a Toros squad who do not have as many dependable attacking pieces.

How to watch

You can watch Philadelphia Union vs. Dallas and every MLS match this season live on Apple TV. Click here for more details on how to subscribe. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Philadelphia Union win with a probability of 63.24%. A draw had a probability of 21% and a win for Dallas had a probability of 15.76%.

The most likely scoreline for a Philadelphia Union win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.36%) and 2-1 (9.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.99%), while for a Dallas win it was 0-1 (5.06%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10% likelihood.

Result
Philadelphia UnionDrawDallas
63.24% (-0.085000000000001 -0.09) 21% (0.024999999999999 0.02) 15.76% (0.059999999999999 0.06)
Both teams to score 49.97% (0.048999999999999 0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.08% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)45.92% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.77% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)68.23% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Philadelphia Union Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.12% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)13.87% (0.026 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.72% (-0.054000000000002 -0.05)41.28% (0.054000000000002 0.05)
Dallas Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.02% (0.076000000000001 0.08)41.98% (-0.076000000000001 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.58% (0.065000000000001 0.07)78.41% (-0.066000000000003 -0.07)
Score Analysis
    Philadelphia Union 63.24%
    Dallas 15.76%
    Draw 21%
Philadelphia UnionDrawDallas
1-0 @ 11.5% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-0 @ 11.36% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
2-1 @ 9.86% (0.0020000000000007 0)
3-0 @ 7.48% (-0.022 -0.02)
3-1 @ 6.49% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-0 @ 3.69% (-0.014 -0.01)
4-1 @ 3.21% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.82% (0.004 0)
5-0 @ 1.46% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.39%
5-1 @ 1.27% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.71%
Total : 63.24%
1-1 @ 9.99% (0.011999999999999 0.01)
0-0 @ 5.82% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-2 @ 4.28% (0.010000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 0.91%
Total : 21%
0-1 @ 5.06% (0.012 0.01)
1-2 @ 4.33% (0.015 0.01)
0-2 @ 2.19% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.25% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.24% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 1.68%
Total : 15.76%

How you voted: Philadelphia vs Dallas

Philadelphia Union
85.7%
Draw
9.5%
Dallas
4.8%
21
Head to Head
Aug 18, 2022 2am
Feb 29, 2020 11pm
Gameweek 2
Dallas
2-0
Philadelphia
Ondrasek (61'), Pomykal (90')
Ondrasek (86')

Real (26'), Glesnes (59'), Creavalle (67'), Santos (84')
Apr 7, 2019 12.30am
Gameweek 6
Philadelphia
2-1
Dallas
Burke (85'), Bedoya (92')
Fabian (9')
Ziegler (10')
Ziegler (85')
Apr 22, 2018 1am
Gameweek 9
Dallas
2-0
Philadelphia
Diaz (64' pen.), Urruti (74')
Hayes (17')

Medunjanin (92')
Aug 6, 2017 12am
Philadelphia
3-1
Dallas
Sapong (17', 68'), Ilsinho (22')
Ilsinho (64')
Barrios (92')
Cermeno (45'), Hedges (55')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami1273232181424
2FC CincinnatiCincinnati11632139421
3Toronto116141414019
4New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls114521616017
5Columbus Crew10361129315
6Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia103521916314
7DC United113531617-114
8Charlotte FCCharlotte FC114251213-114
9New York City FCNY City114251112-114
10Atlanta UnitedAtlanta103341411312
11CF MontrealMontreal103341320-712
12Nashville SCNashville102531418-411
13Chicago Fire112451119-810
14Orlando City102351118-79
15New England RevolutionNew England10217718-117

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Real Salt LakeSalt Lake11632189921
2Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd106221711620
3Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy115422117419
4Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver105321810818
5Colorado RapidsColorado115331815318
6Austin FCAustin114431413116
7Los Angeles FCLos Angeles114341919015
8Houston DynamoHouston10424910-114
9St Louis City102711514113
10Sporting Kansas CityKansas112541819-111
11Seattle SoundersSeattle112451313010
12Portland TimbersPortland112452023-310
13Dallas102261015-58
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes112181726-97


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