Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
1 | Los Angeles FC | 18 | 14 | 36 |
2 | Real Salt Lake | 18 | 0 | 29 |
3 | Dallas | 18 | 7 | 27 |
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
2 | Dallas | 18 | 7 | 27 |
3 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 17 | 4 | 27 |
4 | Seattle Sounders | 17 | 7 | 26 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Los Angeles FC win with a probability of 53.2%. A win for Los Angeles Galaxy had a probability of 24.01% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Los Angeles FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.07%) and 2-0 (8.37%). The likeliest Los Angeles Galaxy win was 1-2 (6.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.59%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Los Angeles FC would win this match.
Result | ||
Los Angeles FC | Draw | Los Angeles Galaxy |
53.2% ( -3.06) | 22.78% ( 0.88) | 24.01% ( 2.16) |
Both teams to score 58% ( -0.22) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57.95% ( -1.59) | 42.04% ( 1.59) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.55% ( -1.62) | 64.44% ( 1.61) |
Los Angeles FC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.19% ( -1.56) | 15.81% ( 1.56) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
55.02% ( -2.96) | 44.97% ( 2.95) |
Los Angeles Galaxy Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.89% ( 1) | 31.1% ( -1.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.57% ( 1.15) | 67.43% ( -1.16) |
Score Analysis |
Los Angeles FC | Draw | Los Angeles Galaxy |
2-1 @ 9.77% ( -0.1) 1-0 @ 9.07% ( 0.16) 2-0 @ 8.37% ( -0.32) 3-1 @ 6.01% ( -0.4) 3-0 @ 5.14% ( -0.5) 3-2 @ 3.51% ( -0.13) 4-1 @ 2.77% ( -0.35) 4-0 @ 2.37% ( -0.38) 4-2 @ 1.62% ( -0.16) 5-1 @ 1.02% ( -0.19) Other @ 3.56% Total : 53.2% | 1-1 @ 10.59% ( 0.47) 2-2 @ 5.71% ( 0.1) 0-0 @ 4.92% ( 0.34) 3-3 @ 1.37% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.2% Total : 22.78% | 1-2 @ 6.19% ( 0.43) 0-1 @ 5.74% ( 0.54) 0-2 @ 3.35% ( 0.4) 1-3 @ 2.41% ( 0.23) 2-3 @ 2.22% ( 0.1) 0-3 @ 1.31% ( 0.19) Other @ 2.8% Total : 24.01% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 14 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 35 | 20 | 15 | 28 |
2 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 13 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 16 | 10 | 6 | 27 |
3 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 13 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 24 | 19 | 5 | 23 |
4 | New York City FCNY City | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 16 | 15 | 1 | 20 |
5 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 14 | 13 | 1 | 20 |
6 | Toronto | 13 | 6 | 1 | 6 | 16 | 19 | -3 | 19 |
7 | Columbus Crew | 12 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 18 |
8 | DC United | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 20 | 23 | -3 | 17 |
9 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 22 | 21 | 1 | 14 |
10 | Nashville SCNashville | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 16 | 19 | -3 | 14 |
11 | Orlando City | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 20 | -6 | 13 |
12 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 16 | 15 | 1 | 12 |
13 | CF MontrealMontreal | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 16 | 26 | -10 | 12 |
14 | Chicago Fire | 13 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 12 | 23 | -11 | 10 |
15 | New England RevolutionNew England | 11 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 9 | 22 | -13 | 7 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 22 | 11 | 11 | 25 |
2 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 19 | 13 | 6 | 21 |
3 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 24 | 19 | 5 | 21 |
4 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 13 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 25 | 21 | 4 | 21 |
5 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 21 | 18 | 3 | 21 |
6 | Austin FCAustin | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 16 | 15 | 1 | 19 |
7 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 18 | 14 | 4 | 18 |
8 | Houston DynamoHouston | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 11 | 12 | -1 | 17 |
9 | St Louis City | 12 | 3 | 7 | 2 | 18 | 17 | 1 | 16 |
10 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 16 | -1 | 13 |
11 | Portland TimbersPortland | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 25 | 27 | -2 | 13 |
12 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 19 | 21 | -2 | 11 |
13 | Dallas | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 12 | 16 | -4 | 11 |
14 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 13 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 22 | 32 | -10 | 10 |