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Barnsley
Championship | Gameweek 39
Jun 27, 2020 at 1pm UK
Oakwell Ground
Millwall logo

Barnsley
0 - 0
Millwall


Williams (72'), Brown (89')
FT

Molumby (72'), Bennett (72')

Preview: Barnsley vs. Millwall - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship fixture between Barnsley and Millwall, including team news and predicted lineups.

Millwall head into their encounter with Barnsley at Oakwell having dropped down to 11th position in the Championship table courtesy of last weekend's defeat to Derby County.

Meanwhile, fresh off getting the better of Queens Park Rangers on their travels, the home side now only sit four points adrift of safety.


Match preview

Millwall boss Gary Rowett on February 15, 2020© Reuters

Having gone into lockdown with a three-match unbeaten streak, Millwall boss Gary Rowett would have had every confidence that the run would be extended against Derby County last weekend.

Although an early goal put the Lions on the right track, they were ultimately undone by a stunning treble from teenager Louie Sibley, who subsequently fired his team level on points with Millwall.

With the East Londoners sitting three points adrift of the playoffs, Rowett is now tasked with trying to lift his players ahead of a crucial period of their season.

While the gap to the top six remains relatively small, some of their rivals have began to build momentum, meaning that Millwall can ill-afford a second successive defeat.

Despite their next opponents occupying a place in the bottom three, Barnsley will feel that they should be regarded as the favourites to prevail on Saturday afternoon.

After back-to-back setbacks without scoring a goal against Reading and Cardiff City before the lockdown, Gerhard Struber may have felt differently heading into their game at QPR last weekend.

However, with the narrow success taking Barnsley's recent record to four wins from half-a-dozen outings, they remain as one of the form teams in the division.

The bigger picture shows the Tykes as being at least one victory away from catching struggling Hull City, but they are now only seven points adrift of 17th-placed Wigan Athletic.

With three successive meetings with teams around them coming up shortly, including Wigan, Struber knows that another maximum return at the weekend could put the club in an increasingly favourable position.

Barnsley Championship form: WWWLLW

Millwall Championship form: WLDDWL


Team News

New Barnsley boss Gerhard Struber greets the fans on November 30, 2019© Reuters

Struber will likely have to make at least one change with Elliot Simoes, the scorer of the decisive goal against QPR, struggling with a muscle problem.

After being handed his debut last weekend, it would come as a surprise if Romal Palmer does not continue in the centre of Barnsley's midfield.

Millwall are boosted by the return of Mason Bennett after the Derby County loanee was unable to face his parent club.

With Shaun Hutchinson struggling through injury, Alex Pearce and Jake Cooper should be named in the centre of defence.

Barnsley possible starting lineup:
Sahin-Radlinger; Sollbauer, Andersen, Williams; Ludewig, Palmer, Mowatt, Ritzmaier; Brown; Chaplin, Woodrow

Millwall possible starting lineup:
Bialkowski; Romeo, Pearce, Cooper, M.Wallace; Molumby, Woods; J.Wallace, Bennett, Ferguson; Smith


Sports Mole Logo

We say: Barnsley 1-1 Millwall

Both clubs have reached a stage in their season where it could be perceived that only wins will do. However, we are backing the two teams to cancel each other out at Oakwell, aware that defeat will put them significantly further away from their respective targets.



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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barnsley win with a probability of 43.43%. A win for Millwall had a probability of 30.78% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barnsley win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.97%) and 2-0 (7.54%). The likeliest Millwall win was 0-1 (8.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.25%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7% likelihood.


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Derby County's Louie Sibley celebrates scoring against Millwall on June 20, 2020
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CLeicester CityLeicester463141189414897
3Leeds UnitedLeeds462791081433890
4Southampton462691187632487
5West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom4621121370472375
6Norwich CityNorwich4621101579641573
7Hull City461913146860870
8Middlesbrough46209177162969
9Coventry CityCoventry4617131670591164
10Preston North EndPreston46189195667-1163
11Bristol City461711185351262
12Cardiff CityCardiff46195225370-1762
13Millwall461611194555-1059
14Swansea CitySwansea461512195965-657
15Watford461317166161056
16Sunderland46168225254-256
17Stoke CityStoke461511204960-1156
18Queens Park RangersQPR461511204758-1156
19Blackburn RoversBlackburn461411216074-1453
20Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds46158234468-2453
21Plymouth ArgylePlymouth461312215970-1151
RBirmingham CityBirmingham461311225065-1550
RHuddersfield TownHuddersfield46918194877-2945
RRotherham UnitedRotherham46512293789-5227


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