Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Reims win with a probability of 47.47%. A win for Strasbourg had a probability of 27.67% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Reims win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.39%) and 2-0 (8.12%). The likeliest Strasbourg win was 0-1 (7.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.78%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Reims would win this match.
Result | ||
Reims | Draw | Strasbourg |
47.47% ( -0.06) | 24.86% ( 0.02) | 27.67% ( 0.04) |
Both teams to score 54.59% ( -0.03) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.82% ( -0.05) | 48.18% ( 0.05) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.67% ( -0.05) | 70.33% ( 0.05) |
Reims Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.66% ( -0.05) | 20.34% ( 0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.26% ( -0.07) | 52.74% ( 0.08) |
Strasbourg Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.53% ( 0) | 31.47% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.15% ( 0) | 67.85% ( -0) |
Score Analysis |
Reims | Draw | Strasbourg |
1-0 @ 10.19% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.39% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 8.12% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 4.98% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 4.31% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.88% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.98% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.72% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.15% ( -0) Other @ 2.76% Total : 47.46% | 1-1 @ 11.78% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.4% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.43% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.11% ( -0) Other @ 0.14% Total : 24.85% | 0-1 @ 7.4% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 6.81% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 4.28% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 2.63% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.09% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.65% ( 0) Other @ 2.81% Total : 27.67% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 31 | 20 | 10 | 1 | 76 | 29 | 47 | 70 |
2 | MonacoMonaco | 31 | 17 | 7 | 7 | 58 | 41 | 17 | 58 |
3 | Brest | 31 | 16 | 8 | 7 | 49 | 33 | 16 | 56 |
4 | Lille | 31 | 15 | 10 | 6 | 45 | 27 | 18 | 55 |
5 | Nice | 31 | 14 | 9 | 8 | 36 | 25 | 11 | 51 |
6 | Lens | 31 | 13 | 7 | 11 | 40 | 34 | 6 | 46 |
7 | Marseille | 31 | 11 | 11 | 9 | 47 | 38 | 9 | 44 |
8 | Lyon | 31 | 13 | 5 | 13 | 42 | 51 | -9 | 44 |
9 | Rennes | 31 | 11 | 9 | 11 | 48 | 41 | 7 | 42 |
10 | Toulouse | 31 | 10 | 10 | 11 | 38 | 40 | -2 | 40 |
11 | Reims | 31 | 11 | 7 | 13 | 38 | 45 | -7 | 40 |
12 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 31 | 9 | 11 | 11 | 39 | 43 | -4 | 37 |
13 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 31 | 9 | 9 | 13 | 34 | 44 | -10 | 36 |
14 | NantesNantes | 31 | 9 | 5 | 17 | 29 | 49 | -20 | 32 |
15 | Le HavreLe Havre | 31 | 6 | 11 | 14 | 30 | 41 | -11 | 29 |
16 | Metz | 31 | 8 | 5 | 18 | 32 | 51 | -19 | 29 |
17 | Lorient | 31 | 6 | 8 | 17 | 37 | 61 | -24 | 26 |
18 | Clermont | 31 | 5 | 10 | 16 | 25 | 50 | -25 | 25 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |