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Brest logo
Clermont Foot
Le Havre
Lens logo
Lille
Lorient logo
Lyon
Marseille
Metz logo
Monaco
Montpellier
Nantes
Nice
PSG logo
Reims
Rennes
Strasbourg
Toulouse
Nice
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 13
Nov 26, 2023 at 12pm UK
Allianz Riviera
Toulouse

Nice
1 - 0
Toulouse

Moffi (54')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Casseres Jr (33'), Bangre (81'), Desler (83'), Gelabert (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Nice and Toulouse, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Montpellier 0-0 Nice
Friday, November 10 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Lille 1-1 Toulouse
Sunday, November 12 at 2pm in Ligue 1

We said: Nice 1-0 Toulouse

Forced to work without the suspended Dallinga and injured Aboukhlal, Toulouse's chances of breaching a near-impenetrable Nice backline are wafer-thin, and Martinez's men could learn a thing or two about rearguard mastery from their upcoming opponents. For all of the hosts' remarkable work at the back, 13 goals at the correct end of the field is still the worst record in the top four, so only a solitary strike may separate the sides on Sunday as Nice extend their unbeaten record. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nice win with a probability of 56.16%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for Toulouse had a probability of 19.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nice win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.67%) and 2-1 (9.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.36%), while for a Toulouse win it was 0-1 (6.67%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Nice in this match.

Result
NiceDrawToulouse
56.16% (0.15499999999999 0.15) 23.94% (-0.0070000000000014 -0.01) 19.9% (-0.147 -0.15)
Both teams to score 48.73% (-0.203 -0.2)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.36% (-0.15300000000001 -0.15)51.63% (0.155 0.16)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.58% (-0.134 -0.13)73.42% (0.13500000000001 0.14)
Nice Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.77%18.23% (0.0010000000000012 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.74%49.26% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Toulouse Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.59% (-0.247 -0.25)40.41% (0.249 0.25)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.97% (-0.226 -0.23)77.02% (0.226 0.23)
Score Analysis
    Nice 56.15%
    Toulouse 19.9%
    Draw 23.93%
NiceDrawToulouse
1-0 @ 12.53% (0.069999999999999 0.07)
2-0 @ 10.67% (0.07 0.07)
2-1 @ 9.67% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-0 @ 6.06% (0.037 0.04)
3-1 @ 5.49% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
4-0 @ 2.58% (0.016 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.49% (-0.018 -0.02)
4-1 @ 2.34% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-2 @ 1.06% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 3.29%
Total : 56.15%
1-1 @ 11.36%
0-0 @ 7.37% (0.045999999999999 0.05)
2-2 @ 4.38% (-0.032 -0.03)
Other @ 0.83%
Total : 23.93%
0-1 @ 6.67% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
1-2 @ 5.15% (-0.037999999999999 -0.04)
0-2 @ 3.02% (-0.022 -0.02)
1-3 @ 1.56% (-0.022 -0.02)
2-3 @ 1.32% (-0.019 -0.02)
0-3 @ 0.91% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 1.26%
Total : 19.9%

How you voted: Nice vs Toulouse

Nice
83.8%
Draw
10.8%
Toulouse
5.4%
37
Head to Head
May 21, 2023 2pm
Gameweek 36
Nice
0-0
Toulouse
Beka Beka (32'), Moffi (72')
Nicolaisen (23'), Spierings (90+3')
Aug 7, 2022 12pm
Gameweek 1
Toulouse
1-1
Nice
Dallinga (20')
Keben (86')
Ramsey (78')
Rosario (63'), Dante (65')
Feb 15, 2020 7pm
Gameweek 25
Toulouse
0-2
Nice

Gradel (58'), Sangare (83')
Gabrielsen (27'), Moreira (77')
Lees-Melou (12'), Herelle (90')
Dec 21, 2019 7.45pm
Gameweek 19
Nice
3-0
Toulouse
Sarr (16'), Boudaoui (19'), Lees-Melou (40')
Boudaoui (25')

Kone (7'), Sangare (37'), Isimat-Mirin (53'), Adli (89')
Mar 15, 2019 6pm
Gameweek 29
Nice
1-1
Toulouse
Cyprien (20')
Mubele (88')
Sylla (24'), Gradel (61')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CParis Saint-GermainPSG312010176294770
2MonacoMonaco31177758411758
3Brest31168749331656
4Lille311510645271855
5Nice31149836251151
6Lens31137114034646
7Marseille31111194738944
8Lyon31135134251-944
9Rennes31119114841742
10Montpellier HSCMontpellier321011114144-340
11Toulouse321010123942-340
12Reims31117133845-740
13StrasbourgStrasbourg3199133444-1036
14NantesNantes3195172949-2032
15Le HavreLe Havre31611143041-1129
16Metz3185183251-1929
17Lorient3168173761-2426
18Clermont31510162550-2525


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