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Ligue 1 | Gameweek 36
May 11, 2022 at 6pm UK
Stade Municipal du Ray
Saint-Etienne

Nice
4 - 2
St Etienne

Bard (52'), Delort (60', 62'), Boudaoui (80')
Daniliuc (44'), Kluivert (65')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Bouanga (11'), Youssouf (45+3')
Macon (37'), Mangala (54'), Moukoudi (85')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Ligue 1 clash between Nice and Saint-Etienne, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Reims 2-3 Nice
Saturday, May 21 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: St Etienne 1-1 Auxerre (4-5 pen.)
Sunday, May 29 at 6pm in Ligue 1 Playoffs

We said: Nice 3-1 Saint-Etienne

While Saint-Etienne's slender win over Nice last season will provide them with some confidence on Wednesday, Les Verts could be in for a challenging evening against their Champions League-chasing opponents this time around. Securing all three points is required if they are to move out of the bottom three, but we can only see the Eaglets running away with victory on home soil. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nice win with a probability of 62.35%. A draw had a probability of 21.1% and a win for Saint-Etienne had a probability of 16.54%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nice win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.92%) and 2-1 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.02%), while for a Saint-Etienne win it was 0-1 (5.07%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Nice would win this match.

Result
NiceDrawSaint-Etienne
62.35% (-3.523 -3.52) 21.1% (1.017 1.02) 16.54% (2.504 2.5)
Both teams to score 51.37% (2.669 2.67)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.05% (0.468 0.47)44.95% (-0.471 -0.47)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.69% (0.448 0.45)67.31% (-0.45099999999999 -0.45)
Nice Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.16% (-0.901 -0.9)13.83% (0.897 0.9)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.8% (-1.809 -1.81)41.2% (1.805 1.81)
Saint-Etienne Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.61% (3.68 3.68)40.38% (-3.684 -3.68)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23% (3.173 3.17)77% (-3.177 -3.18)
Score Analysis
    Nice 62.34%
    Saint-Etienne 16.54%
    Draw 21.1%
NiceDrawSaint-Etienne
1-0 @ 11.05% (-0.6 -0.6)
2-0 @ 10.92% (-1 -1)
2-1 @ 9.91% (0.141 0.14)
3-0 @ 7.21% (-0.921 -0.92)
3-1 @ 6.54% (-0.125 -0.13)
4-0 @ 3.56% (-0.591 -0.59)
4-1 @ 3.23% (-0.174 -0.17)
3-2 @ 2.96% (0.234 0.23)
4-2 @ 1.47% (0.07 0.07)
5-0 @ 1.41% (-0.29 -0.29)
5-1 @ 1.28% (-0.115 -0.12)
Other @ 2.81%
Total : 62.34%
1-1 @ 10.02% (0.466 0.47)
0-0 @ 5.59% (-0.114 -0.11)
2-2 @ 4.49% (0.49 0.49)
Other @ 1%
Total : 21.1%
0-1 @ 5.07% (0.394 0.39)
1-2 @ 4.54% (0.628 0.63)
0-2 @ 2.3% (0.383 0.38)
1-3 @ 1.37% (0.304 0.3)
2-3 @ 1.36% (0.265 0.27)
Other @ 1.9%
Total : 16.54%

How you voted: Nice vs St Etienne

Nice
77.8%
Draw
13.9%
Saint-Etienne
8.3%
72
Head to Head
Sep 25, 2021 4pm
St Etienne
0-3
Nice
Gouiri (15'), Stengs (54'), Delort (83')
Kamara (45'), Todibo (90')
Jan 31, 2021 12pm
Nice
0-1
St Etienne

Bambu (48'), Boudaoui (68')
Abi (88')
Moukoudi (41'), Gourna-Douath (78')
Oct 18, 2020 4pm
St Etienne
1-3
Nice
Aouchiche (57')
Moukoudi (72'), Hamouma (90+3')
Lees-Melou (8'), Gouiri (30'), Maolida (90+1')
Kamara (49'), Nsoki (58'), Daniel Benitez (67'), Lotomba (68'), Bambu (73')
May 16, 2020 7pm
Dec 4, 2019 6pm
St Etienne
4-1
Nice
Bouanga (11' pen., 58'), Hamouma (38'), Fofana (40')
Ruffier (49'), Diony (88')
Dolberg (15')
Lees-Melou (24'), Lloris (60'), Burner (82')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CParis Saint-GermainPSG342210281334876
2MonacoMonaco34207768422667
3Brest341710753341961
4Lille341611752341859
5Nice341510940291155
6Lyon34165134955-653
7Lens34149114537851
8Marseille3413111052411150
9Reims34138134247-547
10Rennes341210125346746
11Toulouse341110134246-443
12Montpellier HSCMontpellier341012124348-541
13StrasbourgStrasbourg34109153850-1239
14NantesNantes3496193055-2533
15Le HavreLe Havre34711163445-1132
16Lorient3478194366-2329
17Metz3485213558-2329
RClermont34510192660-3425


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