Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 43.12%. A draw had a probability of 29% and a win for Nantes had a probability of 27.87%.
The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.74%) and 1-2 (8.12%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.18%), while for a Nantes win it was 1-0 (10.71%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood.
Result | ||
Nantes | Draw | Marseille |
27.87% | 29.01% | 43.12% |
Both teams to score 42.83% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
36.64% | 63.35% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
17.28% | 82.72% |
Nantes Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
60.5% | 39.5% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
23.81% | 76.19% |
Marseille Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.79% | 29.2% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.85% | 65.15% |
Score Analysis |
Nantes | Draw | Marseille |
1-0 @ 10.71% 2-1 @ 6.13% 2-0 @ 4.98% 3-1 @ 1.9% 3-0 @ 1.54% 3-2 @ 1.17% Other @ 1.44% Total : 27.86% | 1-1 @ 13.18% 0-0 @ 11.53% 2-2 @ 3.77% Other @ 0.52% Total : 29% | 0-1 @ 14.19% 0-2 @ 8.74% 1-2 @ 8.12% 0-3 @ 3.59% 1-3 @ 3.33% 2-3 @ 1.55% 0-4 @ 1.1% 1-4 @ 1.03% Other @ 1.48% Total : 43.11% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 31 | 20 | 10 | 1 | 76 | 29 | 47 | 70 |
2 | MonacoMonaco | 32 | 18 | 7 | 7 | 62 | 42 | 20 | 61 |
3 | Brest | 32 | 16 | 9 | 7 | 49 | 33 | 16 | 57 |
4 | Lille | 32 | 15 | 10 | 7 | 48 | 31 | 17 | 55 |
5 | Nice | 31 | 14 | 9 | 8 | 36 | 25 | 11 | 51 |
6 | Lens | 32 | 14 | 7 | 11 | 42 | 34 | 8 | 49 |
7 | Lyon | 32 | 14 | 5 | 13 | 46 | 54 | -8 | 47 |
8 | Rennes | 32 | 12 | 9 | 11 | 51 | 43 | 8 | 45 |
9 | Marseille | 31 | 11 | 11 | 9 | 47 | 38 | 9 | 44 |
10 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 32 | 10 | 11 | 11 | 41 | 44 | -3 | 40 |
11 | Toulouse | 32 | 10 | 10 | 12 | 39 | 42 | -3 | 40 |
12 | Reims | 31 | 11 | 7 | 13 | 38 | 45 | -7 | 40 |
13 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 32 | 9 | 9 | 14 | 35 | 47 | -12 | 36 |
14 | NantesNantes | 32 | 9 | 6 | 17 | 29 | 49 | -20 | 33 |
15 | Le HavreLe Havre | 32 | 7 | 11 | 14 | 33 | 42 | -9 | 32 |
16 | Metz | 32 | 8 | 5 | 19 | 34 | 54 | -20 | 29 |
17 | Lorient | 32 | 6 | 8 | 18 | 37 | 63 | -26 | 26 |
18 | Clermont | 32 | 5 | 10 | 17 | 26 | 54 | -28 | 25 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |