Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Metz win with a probability of 57.83%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Dijon had a probability of 17.01%.
The most likely scoreline for a Metz win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.46%) and 2-1 (9.01%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.43%), while for a Dijon win it was 0-1 (7.25%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood.
