Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon win with a probability of 62.58%. A draw had a probability of 20.4% and a win for Saint-Etienne had a probability of 17.05%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lyon win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.94%) and 1-0 (9.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.54%), while for a Saint-Etienne win it was 1-2 (4.72%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lyon would win this match.
Result | ||
Lyon | Draw | Saint-Etienne |
62.58% | 20.37% | 17.05% |
Both teams to score 54.97% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
59.28% | 40.72% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
36.89% | 63.11% |
Lyon Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.56% | 12.45% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
61.62% | 38.39% |
Saint-Etienne Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.79% | 37.21% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26% | 74% |
Score Analysis |
Lyon | Draw | Saint-Etienne |
2-0 @ 10.05% 2-1 @ 9.94% 1-0 @ 9.65% 3-0 @ 6.99% 3-1 @ 6.9% 4-0 @ 3.64% 4-1 @ 3.6% 3-2 @ 3.41% 4-2 @ 1.78% 5-0 @ 1.52% 5-1 @ 1.5% Other @ 3.6% Total : 62.58% | 1-1 @ 9.54% 2-2 @ 4.91% 0-0 @ 4.63% 3-3 @ 1.12% Other @ 0.16% Total : 20.37% | 1-2 @ 4.72% 0-1 @ 4.58% 0-2 @ 2.26% 2-3 @ 1.62% 1-3 @ 1.55% Other @ 2.32% Total : 17.05% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 34 | 22 | 10 | 2 | 81 | 33 | 48 | 76 |
2 | MonacoMonaco | 34 | 20 | 7 | 7 | 68 | 42 | 26 | 67 |
3 | Brest | 34 | 17 | 10 | 7 | 53 | 34 | 19 | 61 |
4 | Lille | 34 | 16 | 11 | 7 | 52 | 34 | 18 | 59 |
5 | Nice | 34 | 15 | 10 | 9 | 40 | 29 | 11 | 55 |
6 | Lyon | 34 | 16 | 5 | 13 | 49 | 55 | -6 | 53 |
7 | Lens | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 45 | 37 | 8 | 51 |
8 | Marseille | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 52 | 41 | 11 | 50 |
9 | Reims | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 42 | 47 | -5 | 47 |
10 | Rennes | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 53 | 46 | 7 | 46 |
11 | Toulouse | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 42 | 46 | -4 | 43 |
12 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 43 | 48 | -5 | 41 |
13 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 38 | 50 | -12 | 39 |
14 | NantesNantes | 34 | 9 | 6 | 19 | 30 | 55 | -25 | 33 |
15 | Le HavreLe Havre | 34 | 7 | 11 | 16 | 34 | 45 | -11 | 32 |
16 | Lorient | 34 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 43 | 66 | -23 | 29 |
17 | Metz | 34 | 8 | 5 | 21 | 35 | 58 | -23 | 29 |
R | Clermont | 34 | 5 | 10 | 19 | 26 | 60 | -34 | 25 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |