Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon win with a probability of 62.91%. A draw had a probability of 20.6% and a win for Nantes had a probability of 16.51%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lyon win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.34%) and 2-1 (9.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.72%), while for a Nantes win it was 0-1 (4.76%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood.
Result | ||
Lyon | Draw | Nantes |
62.91% ( -1.13) | 20.58% ( 0.52) | 16.51% ( 0.62) |
Both teams to score 53.04% ( -0.36) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57.3% ( -1.17) | 42.69% ( 1.17) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
34.9% ( -1.18) | 65.1% ( 1.17) |
Lyon Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.04% ( -0.68) | 12.96% ( 0.68) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
60.55% ( -1.41) | 39.44% ( 1.41) |
Nantes Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
60.94% ( 0.06) | 39.06% ( -0.06) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24.22% ( 0.06) | 75.78% ( -0.06) |
Score Analysis |
Lyon | Draw | Nantes |
2-0 @ 10.56% 1-0 @ 10.34% ( 0.27) 2-1 @ 9.93% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 7.2% ( -0.19) 3-1 @ 6.77% ( -0.17) 4-0 @ 3.68% ( -0.2) 4-1 @ 3.46% ( -0.18) 3-2 @ 3.18% ( -0.07) 4-2 @ 1.63% ( -0.08) 5-0 @ 1.5% ( -0.12) 5-1 @ 1.41% ( -0.11) Other @ 3.25% Total : 62.9% | 1-1 @ 9.72% ( 0.27) 0-0 @ 5.06% ( 0.26) 2-2 @ 4.67% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 1% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.13% Total : 20.58% | 0-1 @ 4.76% ( 0.25) 1-2 @ 4.57% ( 0.13) 0-2 @ 2.24% ( 0.12) 2-3 @ 1.46% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 1.43% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.05% Total : 16.51% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 32 | 20 | 10 | 2 | 77 | 32 | 45 | 70 |
2 | MonacoMonaco | 33 | 19 | 7 | 7 | 64 | 42 | 22 | 64 |
3 | Lille | 33 | 16 | 10 | 7 | 50 | 32 | 18 | 58 |
4 | Brest | 33 | 16 | 10 | 7 | 50 | 34 | 16 | 58 |
5 | Nice | 32 | 15 | 9 | 8 | 37 | 25 | 12 | 54 |
6 | Lens | 33 | 14 | 8 | 11 | 43 | 35 | 8 | 50 |
7 | Lyon | 33 | 15 | 5 | 13 | 47 | 54 | -7 | 50 |
8 | Marseille | 32 | 12 | 11 | 9 | 50 | 39 | 11 | 47 |
9 | Rennes | 33 | 12 | 10 | 11 | 52 | 44 | 8 | 46 |
10 | Toulouse | 33 | 11 | 10 | 12 | 42 | 43 | -1 | 43 |
11 | Reims | 32 | 11 | 8 | 13 | 39 | 46 | -7 | 41 |
12 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 33 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 41 | 46 | -5 | 40 |
13 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 33 | 10 | 9 | 14 | 37 | 48 | -11 | 39 |
14 | NantesNantes | 33 | 9 | 6 | 18 | 30 | 51 | -21 | 33 |
15 | Le HavreLe Havre | 33 | 7 | 11 | 15 | 33 | 43 | -10 | 32 |
16 | Metz | 33 | 8 | 5 | 20 | 35 | 56 | -21 | 29 |
17 | Lorient | 33 | 6 | 8 | 19 | 38 | 66 | -28 | 26 |
R | Clermont | 33 | 5 | 10 | 18 | 26 | 55 | -29 | 25 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |