Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 56.98%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for Reims had a probability of 20.64%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.91%) and 2-0 (9.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.55%), while for a Reims win it was 0-1 (5.62%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.
Result | ||
Lille | Draw | Reims |
56.98% ( 1.04) | 22.37% ( -0.26) | 20.64% ( -0.78) |
Both teams to score 54.76% ( -0.31) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.82% ( 0.15) | 44.17% ( -0.15) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.44% ( 0.14) | 66.55% ( -0.15) |
Lille Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.72% ( 0.4) | 15.28% ( -0.4) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
56.01% ( 0.74) | 43.98% ( -0.75) |
Reims Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.63% ( -0.68) | 35.36% ( 0.68) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.88% ( -0.71) | 72.12% ( 0.71) |
Score Analysis |
Lille | Draw | Reims |
1-0 @ 10.15% ( 0.08) 2-1 @ 9.91% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 9.53% ( 0.2) 3-1 @ 6.21% ( 0.1) 3-0 @ 5.97% ( 0.21) 3-2 @ 3.23% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 2.92% ( 0.09) 4-0 @ 2.8% ( 0.13) 4-2 @ 1.52% ( 0.02) 5-1 @ 1.1% ( 0.05) 5-0 @ 1.05% ( 0.06) Other @ 2.6% Total : 56.98% | 1-1 @ 10.55% ( -0.12) 0-0 @ 5.4% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 5.15% ( -0.08) 3-3 @ 1.12% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.15% Total : 22.37% | 0-1 @ 5.62% ( -0.14) 1-2 @ 5.49% ( -0.16) 0-2 @ 2.92% ( -0.13) 1-3 @ 1.9% ( -0.09) 2-3 @ 1.79% ( -0.06) 0-3 @ 1.01% ( -0.06) Other @ 1.92% Total : 20.64% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 31 | 20 | 10 | 1 | 76 | 29 | 47 | 70 |
2 | MonacoMonaco | 31 | 17 | 7 | 7 | 58 | 41 | 17 | 58 |
3 | Brest | 31 | 16 | 8 | 7 | 49 | 33 | 16 | 56 |
4 | Lille | 31 | 15 | 10 | 6 | 45 | 27 | 18 | 55 |
5 | Nice | 31 | 14 | 9 | 8 | 36 | 25 | 11 | 51 |
6 | Lens | 31 | 13 | 7 | 11 | 40 | 34 | 6 | 46 |
7 | Marseille | 31 | 11 | 11 | 9 | 47 | 38 | 9 | 44 |
8 | Lyon | 31 | 13 | 5 | 13 | 42 | 51 | -9 | 44 |
9 | Rennes | 31 | 11 | 9 | 11 | 48 | 41 | 7 | 42 |
10 | Toulouse | 31 | 10 | 10 | 11 | 38 | 40 | -2 | 40 |
11 | Reims | 31 | 11 | 7 | 13 | 38 | 45 | -7 | 40 |
12 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 31 | 9 | 11 | 11 | 39 | 43 | -4 | 37 |
13 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 31 | 9 | 9 | 13 | 34 | 44 | -10 | 36 |
14 | NantesNantes | 31 | 9 | 5 | 17 | 29 | 49 | -20 | 32 |
15 | Le HavreLe Havre | 31 | 6 | 11 | 14 | 30 | 41 | -11 | 29 |
16 | Metz | 31 | 8 | 5 | 18 | 32 | 51 | -19 | 29 |
17 | Lorient | 31 | 6 | 8 | 17 | 37 | 61 | -24 | 26 |
18 | Clermont | 31 | 5 | 10 | 16 | 25 | 50 | -25 | 25 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |