Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Angers win with a probability of 46.8%. A win for Troyes had a probability of 26.83% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for an Angers win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.08%) and 2-0 (8.8%). The likeliest Troyes win was 0-1 (8.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.49%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Angers would win this match.
Result | ||
Angers | Draw | Troyes |
46.8% | 26.37% | 26.83% |
Both teams to score 49.31% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
45.23% | 54.77% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.91% | 76.08% |
Angers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.61% | 23.38% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.63% | 57.36% |
Troyes Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.36% | 35.64% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.59% | 72.41% |
Score Analysis |
Angers | Draw | Troyes |
1-0 @ 12.1% 2-1 @ 9.08% 2-0 @ 8.8% 3-1 @ 4.4% 3-0 @ 4.26% 3-2 @ 2.27% 4-1 @ 1.6% 4-0 @ 1.55% Other @ 2.74% Total : 46.79% | 1-1 @ 12.49% 0-0 @ 8.33% 2-2 @ 4.68% Other @ 0.86% Total : 26.36% | 0-1 @ 8.6% 1-2 @ 6.45% 0-2 @ 4.44% 1-3 @ 2.22% 2-3 @ 1.61% 0-3 @ 1.53% Other @ 1.99% Total : 26.83% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 32 | 20 | 10 | 2 | 77 | 32 | 45 | 70 |
2 | MonacoMonaco | 33 | 19 | 7 | 7 | 64 | 42 | 22 | 64 |
3 | Lille | 33 | 16 | 10 | 7 | 50 | 32 | 18 | 58 |
4 | Brest | 33 | 16 | 10 | 7 | 50 | 34 | 16 | 58 |
5 | Nice | 32 | 15 | 9 | 8 | 37 | 25 | 12 | 54 |
6 | Lens | 33 | 14 | 8 | 11 | 43 | 35 | 8 | 50 |
7 | Lyon | 33 | 15 | 5 | 13 | 47 | 54 | -7 | 50 |
8 | Marseille | 32 | 12 | 11 | 9 | 50 | 39 | 11 | 47 |
9 | Rennes | 33 | 12 | 10 | 11 | 52 | 44 | 8 | 46 |
10 | Toulouse | 33 | 11 | 10 | 12 | 42 | 43 | -1 | 43 |
11 | Reims | 32 | 11 | 8 | 13 | 39 | 46 | -7 | 41 |
12 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 33 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 41 | 46 | -5 | 40 |
13 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 33 | 10 | 9 | 14 | 37 | 48 | -11 | 39 |
14 | NantesNantes | 33 | 9 | 6 | 18 | 30 | 51 | -21 | 33 |
15 | Le HavreLe Havre | 33 | 7 | 11 | 15 | 33 | 43 | -10 | 32 |
16 | Metz | 33 | 8 | 5 | 20 | 35 | 56 | -21 | 29 |
17 | Lorient | 33 | 6 | 8 | 19 | 38 | 66 | -28 | 26 |
R | Clermont | 33 | 5 | 10 | 18 | 26 | 55 | -29 | 25 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |