Each of the last three meetings between Rangers and Benfica - all in the Europa League - have ended as a draw, with both sides scoring at least two goals. Another entertaining end-to-end affair could be in store, but something has to give on Thursday.
While Rangers are without a number of first-team players through injury, a refreshed set of options in key areas across the pitch will strengthen Benfica following their domestic win last weekend. However, the Ibrox factor on a big European night could play a significant role for the Gers, with the home crowd roaring them on to another memorable home triumph.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rangers win with a probability of 49.46%. A win for Benfica had a probability of 27.89% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rangers win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.55%) and 2-0 (7.01%). The likeliest Benfica win was 1-2 (6.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.16%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.
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