Major League Soccer

May 21, 2023 at 3.30am UK

Providence Park

Portland
0 - 1
Minnesota Utd

McGraw (63'), Bravo (67'), Zuparic (84')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Hlongwane (90+5')
Boxall (82'), Hlongwane (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Portland Timbers and Minnesota United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Portland Timbers

All competitions

Last Game: Salt Lake 0-0 Portland
Thursday, May 18 at 4.12am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Minnesota United

All competitions

Last Game: Minnesota Utd 1-0 Houston
Thursday, May 18 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

We said: Portland Timbers 1-1 Minnesota United

Portland come into this match as the side in better form, but Minnesota have one of the better away records in the division. Therefore, we think this will be a closely-fought contest with the sides sharing the spoils.

How to watch

You can watch Portland Timbers vs. Minnesota United and every MLS match this season live on Apple TV. Click here for more details on how to subscribe. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portland Timbers win with a probability of 55.71%. A draw had a probability of 22.5% and a win for Minnesota United had a probability of 21.77%.

The most likely scoreline for a Portland Timbers win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.76%) and 2-0 (9.12%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.57%), while for a Minnesota United win it was 1-2 (5.73%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.

Result
Portland Timbers	Draw	Minnesota United
55.71%	22.52% ( -0)	21.77% ( -0)

Both teams to score 55.94% (

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.59% (

0.01)

43.41% (

-0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.19% (

0.01)

65.8% (

-0.01)

Portland Timbers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.56% (

15.44% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

55.71% (

44.28% (

-0.01)

Minnesota United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.15% (

33.84% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.49% (

70.51% (

-0)

Score Analysis

Portland Timbers 55.71%

Minnesota United 21.77%

Draw 22.52%

Portland Timbers	Draw	Minnesota United
2-1 @ 9.88% 1-0 @ 9.76% ( -0) 2-0 @ 9.12% ( -0) 3-1 @ 6.15% ( 0) 3-0 @ 5.68% 3-2 @ 3.33% 4-1 @ 2.87% ( 0) 4-0 @ 2.65% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.56% ( 0) 5-1 @ 1.07% 5-0 @ 0.99% Other @ 2.63% Total : 55.71%	1-1 @ 10.57% 2-2 @ 5.35% 0-0 @ 5.22% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.2% Other @ 0.17% Total : 22.52%	1-2 @ 5.73% ( -0) 0-1 @ 5.66% ( -0) 0-2 @ 3.07% 1-3 @ 2.07% 2-3 @ 1.93% 0-3 @ 1.11% Other @ 2.2% Total : 21.77%