Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Las Palmas win with a probability of 37.59%. A win for Osasuna had a probability of 35.27% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Las Palmas win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.13%) and 0-2 (6.7%). The likeliest Osasuna win was 1-0 (10.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.87%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
Result | ||
Osasuna | Draw | Las Palmas |
35.27% ( -0.01) | 27.14% ( -0.04) | 37.59% ( 0.05) |
Both teams to score 50.42% ( 0.11) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
45.02% ( 0.14) | 54.97% ( -0.14) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.75% ( 0.12) | 76.25% ( -0.11) |
Osasuna Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.3% ( 0.06) | 29.69% ( -0.06) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.25% ( 0.07) | 65.75% ( -0.07) |
Las Palmas Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.71% ( 0.09) | 28.29% ( -0.09) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.99% ( 0.12) | 64.01% ( -0.12) |
Score Analysis |
Osasuna | Draw | Las Palmas |
1-0 @ 10.19% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 7.82% ( 0) 2-0 @ 6.19% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 3.16% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 2.51% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 0.96% ( 0) Other @ 2.43% Total : 35.26% | 1-1 @ 12.87% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 8.4% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 4.94% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.93% Total : 27.13% | 0-1 @ 10.6% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 8.13% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 6.7% ( -0) 1-3 @ 3.42% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 2.82% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.08% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.08% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.75% Total : 37.58% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Real Madrid | 37 | 29 | 7 | 1 | 87 | 26 | 61 | 94 |
2 | Barcelona | 37 | 25 | 7 | 5 | 77 | 43 | 34 | 82 |
3 | GironaGirona | 37 | 24 | 6 | 7 | 78 | 46 | 32 | 78 |
4 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 37 | 23 | 4 | 10 | 68 | 43 | 25 | 73 |
5 | Athletic Bilbao | 37 | 18 | 11 | 8 | 60 | 37 | 23 | 65 |
6 | Real Sociedad | 37 | 16 | 12 | 9 | 51 | 37 | 14 | 60 |
7 | Real BetisBetis | 37 | 14 | 14 | 9 | 48 | 45 | 3 | 56 |
8 | Villarreal | 37 | 14 | 10 | 13 | 64 | 64 | 0 | 52 |
9 | Valencia | 37 | 13 | 9 | 15 | 38 | 43 | -5 | 48 |
10 | AlavesAlaves | 37 | 12 | 9 | 16 | 35 | 45 | -10 | 45 |
11 | Osasuna | 37 | 12 | 8 | 17 | 44 | 55 | -11 | 44 |
12 | Getafe | 37 | 10 | 13 | 14 | 41 | 52 | -11 | 43 |
13 | Sevilla | 37 | 10 | 11 | 16 | 47 | 52 | -5 | 41 |
14 | Celta Vigo | 37 | 10 | 10 | 17 | 44 | 55 | -11 | 40 |
15 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 37 | 10 | 9 | 18 | 32 | 46 | -14 | 39 |
16 | Rayo Vallecano | 37 | 8 | 14 | 15 | 29 | 47 | -18 | 38 |
17 | Mallorca | 37 | 7 | 16 | 14 | 31 | 43 | -12 | 37 |
18 | CadizCadiz | 37 | 6 | 15 | 16 | 25 | 49 | -24 | 33 |
R | Granada | 37 | 4 | 9 | 24 | 38 | 72 | -34 | 21 |
R | Almeria | 37 | 2 | 12 | 23 | 37 | 74 | -37 | 18 |
> La Liga Full Table |