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Premier League | Gameweek 11
Nov 5, 2023 at 2pm UK
The City Ground
Aston Villa logo

Nott'm Forest
2 - 0
Aston Villa

Aina (5'), Mangala (47')
Danilo (88')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Kamara (64')

The Match

Match Report

Nottingham Forest end a six-game winless run in the Premier League with a 2-0 victory over an off-colour Aston Villa at the City Ground.

Team News

Nottingham Forest make three changes for Sunday's Premier League game versus Aston Villa at the City Ground.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Premier League clash between Nottingham Forest and Aston Villa, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Liverpool 3-0 Nott'm Forest
Sunday, October 29 at 2pm in Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa win with a probability of 41.92%. A win for Nottingham Forest had a probability of 32.35% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.84%) and 0-2 (7.13%). The likeliest Nottingham Forest win was 1-0 (8.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.21%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.

Result
Nottingham ForestDrawAston Villa
32.35% (-0.016000000000005 -0.02) 25.72% (-0.050999999999998 -0.05) 41.92% (0.064 0.06)
Both teams to score 54.36% (0.162 0.16)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.35% (0.211 0.21)49.65% (-0.214 -0.21)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.33% (0.188 0.19)71.67% (-0.19099999999999 -0.19)
Nottingham Forest Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.07% (0.094999999999999 0.09)28.93% (-0.097999999999999 -0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.19% (0.119 0.12)64.81% (-0.122 -0.12)
Aston Villa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.49% (0.12299999999999 0.12)23.51% (-0.126 -0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.46% (0.17899999999999 0.18)57.54% (-0.182 -0.18)
Score Analysis
    Nottingham Forest 32.35%
    Aston Villa 41.92%
    Draw 25.72%
Nottingham ForestDrawAston Villa
1-0 @ 8.43% (-0.051 -0.05)
2-1 @ 7.57% (0.0039999999999996 0)
2-0 @ 5.23% (-0.017 -0.02)
3-1 @ 3.13% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.27% (0.015 0.02)
3-0 @ 2.16% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
4-1 @ 0.97% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 2.58%
Total : 32.35%
1-1 @ 12.21% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
0-0 @ 6.8% (-0.059 -0.06)
2-2 @ 5.48% (0.023 0.02)
3-3 @ 1.09% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.72%
0-1 @ 9.85% (-0.049999999999999 -0.05)
1-2 @ 8.84% (0.011999999999999 0.01)
0-2 @ 7.13% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
1-3 @ 4.27% (0.022 0.02)
0-3 @ 3.44% (0.008 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.65% (0.02 0.02)
1-4 @ 1.55% (0.014 0.01)
0-4 @ 1.25% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
2-4 @ 0.96% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 2.01%
Total : 41.92%

How you voted: Nott'm Forest vs Aston Villa

Nottingham Forest
13.7%
Draw
10.4%
Aston Villa
75.8%
182
Head to Head
Apr 8, 2023 3pm
Oct 10, 2022 8pm
Mar 13, 2019 7.45pm
Gameweek 37
Nott'm Forest
1-3
Aston Villa
Colback (3')
Ansarifard (29'), Milosevic (61'), Colback (86')
McGinn (7', 15'), Hause (61')
Hause (28'), Taylor (65'), Kodjia (96')
Nov 28, 2018 7.45pm
Gameweek 19
Aston Villa
5-5
Nott'm Forest
Abraham (11', 14', 36' pen., 71'), El Ghazi (75')
Bolasie (20'), Hutton (69'), El Ghazi (87')
Grabban (3', 82'), Carvalho (6'), Cash (22'), Lolley (51')
Yacob (65'), Darikwa (69'), Colback (78')
Figueiredo (68')
Jan 13, 2018 5.30pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CManchester CityMan City38287396346291
2Arsenal38285591296289
3Liverpool382410486414582
4Aston Villa382081076611568
5Tottenham HotspurSpurs382061274611366
6Chelsea381891177631463
7Newcastle UnitedNewcastle381861485622360
8Manchester UnitedMan Utd38186145758-160
9West Ham UnitedWest Ham381410146074-1452
10Crystal Palace381310155758-149
11Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton381212145562-748
12Bournemouth38139165467-1348
13Fulham38138175561-647
14Wolverhampton WanderersWolves38137185065-1546
15Everton38139164051-1140
16Brentford38109195665-939
17Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest3899204967-1832
RLuton TownLuton3868245285-3326
RBurnley3859244178-3724
RSheffield UnitedSheff Utd38372835104-6916


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