Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 56.98%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for Reims had a probability of 20.64%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.91%) and 2-0 (9.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.55%), while for a Reims win it was 0-1 (5.62%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.
Result | ||
Lille | Draw | Reims |
56.98% ( 1.04) | 22.37% ( -0.26) | 20.64% ( -0.78) |
Both teams to score 54.76% ( -0.31) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.82% ( 0.15) | 44.17% ( -0.15) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.44% ( 0.14) | 66.55% ( -0.15) |
Lille Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.72% ( 0.4) | 15.28% ( -0.4) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
56.01% ( 0.74) | 43.98% ( -0.75) |
Reims Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.63% ( -0.68) | 35.36% ( 0.68) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.88% ( -0.71) | 72.12% ( 0.71) |
Score Analysis |
Lille | Draw | Reims |
1-0 @ 10.15% ( 0.08) 2-1 @ 9.91% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 9.53% ( 0.2) 3-1 @ 6.21% ( 0.1) 3-0 @ 5.97% ( 0.21) 3-2 @ 3.23% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 2.92% ( 0.09) 4-0 @ 2.8% ( 0.13) 4-2 @ 1.52% ( 0.02) 5-1 @ 1.1% ( 0.05) 5-0 @ 1.05% ( 0.06) Other @ 2.6% Total : 56.98% | 1-1 @ 10.55% ( -0.12) 0-0 @ 5.4% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 5.15% ( -0.08) 3-3 @ 1.12% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.15% Total : 22.37% | 0-1 @ 5.62% ( -0.14) 1-2 @ 5.49% ( -0.16) 0-2 @ 2.92% ( -0.13) 1-3 @ 1.9% ( -0.09) 2-3 @ 1.79% ( -0.06) 0-3 @ 1.01% ( -0.06) Other @ 1.92% Total : 20.64% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 34 | 22 | 10 | 2 | 81 | 33 | 48 | 76 |
2 | MonacoMonaco | 34 | 20 | 7 | 7 | 68 | 42 | 26 | 67 |
3 | Brest | 34 | 17 | 10 | 7 | 53 | 34 | 19 | 61 |
4 | Lille | 34 | 16 | 11 | 7 | 52 | 34 | 18 | 59 |
5 | Nice | 34 | 15 | 10 | 9 | 40 | 29 | 11 | 55 |
6 | Lyon | 34 | 16 | 5 | 13 | 49 | 55 | -6 | 53 |
7 | Lens | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 45 | 37 | 8 | 51 |
8 | Marseille | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 52 | 41 | 11 | 50 |
9 | Reims | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 42 | 47 | -5 | 47 |
10 | Rennes | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 53 | 46 | 7 | 46 |
11 | Toulouse | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 42 | 46 | -4 | 43 |
12 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 43 | 48 | -5 | 41 |
13 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 38 | 50 | -12 | 39 |
14 | NantesNantes | 34 | 9 | 6 | 19 | 30 | 55 | -25 | 33 |
15 | Le HavreLe Havre | 34 | 7 | 11 | 16 | 34 | 45 | -11 | 32 |
16 | Lorient | 34 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 43 | 66 | -23 | 29 |
17 | Metz | 34 | 8 | 5 | 21 | 35 | 58 | -23 | 29 |
R | Clermont | 34 | 5 | 10 | 19 | 26 | 60 | -34 | 25 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |